Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS — Superettan 2026

Osters IF
Osters IF
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
5/26/2023SuperettanSuperettan · Round 9Visma Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 98+ matches

Osters IF49%
×Draw25%
Landskrona BoIS26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Osters IF
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.11

Osters IF creates 47% more chances

Season form · 112 home / 98 away

creates per match

Osters IF
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.16

allows per match

Osters IF
1.07
Landskrona BoIS
1.64

finishing

Osters IF+0.00on par
Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Osters IF ↓

Landskrona BoIS →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Osters IF or draw
74%
Osters IF or Landskrona BoIS
75%
Draw or Landskrona BoIS
51%

Winning margin

Osters IF wins by 2+
26%
Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Osters IF 1+ goals
80%
Osters IF 2+ goals
48%
Osters IF 3+ goals
22%
Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
67%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
30%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Osters IF (draw refunded)
66%
Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Osters IF at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.07 · 112 matches

Landskrona BoIS away — creates 1.16, concedes 1.64 · 98 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Osters IF attack 1.63 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.63

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.16 + Osters IF defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Osters IF scores more
49%
level
25%
Landskrona BoIS scores more
26%

Osters IF at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Osters IF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS

Osters IF beat Landskrona BoIS 2-1 in Superettan on May 26, 2023.

The match was played at Visma Arena in Växjö.