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Landskrona BoIS vs Osters IF — Superettan 2026

Landskrona BoIS
Landskrona BoIS
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Osters IF
Osters IF
9/13/2024SuperettanSuperettan · Round 22Landskrona Idrottsplats

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 98+ matches

Landskrona BoIS41%
×Draw26%
Osters IF33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Landskrona BoIS
1.46
Osters IF
1.28

Landskrona BoIS creates 14% more chances

Season form · 98 home / 112 away

creates per match

Landskrona BoIS
1.55
Osters IF
1.35

allows per match

Landskrona BoIS
1.21
Osters IF
1.36

finishing

Landskrona BoIS+0.00on par
Osters IF+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Landskrona BoIS ↓

Osters IF →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Landskrona BoIS or draw
67%
Landskrona BoIS or Osters IF
74%
Draw or Osters IF
59%

Winning margin

Landskrona BoIS wins by 2+
20%
Osters IF wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Landskrona BoIS 1+ goals
77%
Landskrona BoIS 2+ goals
43%
Landskrona BoIS 3+ goals
18%
Osters IF 1+ goals
72%
Osters IF 2+ goals
37%
Osters IF 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Landskrona BoIS (draw refunded)
56%
Osters IF (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Landskrona BoIS at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.21 · 98 matches

Osters IF away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.36 · 112 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Landskrona BoIS attack 1.55 + Osters IF defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.46

Osters IF attack 1.35 + Landskrona BoIS defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.28

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Landskrona BoIS scores more
41%
level
26%
Osters IF scores more
33%

Landskrona BoIS at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Landskrona BoIS will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Superettan: Landskrona BoIS 0–0 Osters IF

Landskrona BoIS and Osters IF drew 0-0 in Superettan on September 13, 2024.

The match was played at Landskrona Idrottsplats in Landskrona.