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Orbit College vs Amazulu — Premier Soccer League 2018

Orbit College
Orbit College
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Amazulu
Amazulu
5/9/2026Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 28Olympia Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Orbit College30%
×Draw31%
Amazulu40%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Orbit College
0.90
Amazulu
1.09

Amazulu creates 21% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 120 away

creates per match

Orbit College
0.65
Amazulu
0.83

allows per match

Orbit College
1.35
Amazulu
1.15

finishing

Orbit College+0.00on par
Amazulu+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Orbit College ↓

Amazulu →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–115%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Orbit College or draw
60%
Orbit College or Amazulu
69%
Draw or Amazulu
70%

Winning margin

Orbit College wins by 2+
10%
Amazulu wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Orbit College 1+ goals
59%
Orbit College 2+ goals
23%
Orbit College 3+ goals
6%
Amazulu 1+ goals
66%
Amazulu 2+ goals
30%
Amazulu 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Orbit College (draw refunded)
43%
Amazulu (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Orbit College at home — creates 0.65, concedes 1.35 · 17 matches

Amazulu away — creates 0.83, concedes 1.15 · 120 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Orbit College attack 0.65 + Amazulu defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 0.90

Amazulu attack 0.83 + Orbit College defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Orbit College scores more
30%
level
31%
Amazulu scores more
40%

Amazulu at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Amazulu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

4
R. HanamubAmazuluAmazulu · D
8.2

Match Events

46'
M. Mbanjwa← S. Hlangabeza
64'
T. Mashigo← T. Matlhoko
65'
L. Mhlongo← S. Zikhali
73'
A. Batsi← L. Mahlatsi
76'
H. Ekstein← L. Bern
76'
B. Thabede← A. Maqokola
86'
L. Modimoeng← L. Lesako
86'
N. Ngiba← K. Setlhodi
89'
Realeboga Potsana
90+1'
Tebogo Masuku
90+1'
K. Masangane← G. Khoto

Possession

42%Orbit

Shots

11Orbit

Pass accuracy

48%Orbit

Statistics

OrbitAmazulu
Overview
42%Possession58%
11Total Shots3
4Corners4
10Fouls18
Shots
11Total Shots3
2On Target1
6Off Target2
3Blocked0
6Inside Box3
5Outside Box0
Passing
42%Possession58%
367Total Passes503
291Accurate Passes436
79%Pass Accuracy87%
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
Discipline
10Fouls18
1Yellow Cards1
2Offsides5

Match Recap: Orbit College vs Amazulu

Orbit College and Amazulu drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on May 9, 2026.

Amazulu controlled possession (58%) and registered 3 shots to 11.

The match was played at Olympia Park in Rustenburg.