Ontinyent 1931 0–0 Vall de Uxó: Result & Stats

Ontinyent 1931

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Vall de Uxó

9/29/2024

Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Group 6 - 4Estadio Municipal El Clariano

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Ontinyent 193145%

×Draw31%

Vall de Uxó24%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Ontinyent 1931Expected goals in this matchVall de Uxó

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

0.74

Ontinyent 1931

1.15

Vall de Uxó

0.74

Ontinyent 1931 creates 55% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 34 away

1.08

creates per match

0.85

0.63

allows per match

1.21

creates per match

Ontinyent 1931

1.08

Vall de Uxó

0.85

allows per match

Ontinyent 1931

0.63

Vall de Uxó

1.21

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Ontinyent 1931+0.00on par

Vall de Uxó+0.00on par

Total goals

Under71
Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ontinyent 1931 ↓

Vall de Uxó →

0–015%

0–111%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1–017%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2–010%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

56%44%2.5

29%71%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Ontinyent 1931 or draw

76%

Ontinyent 1931 or Vall de Uxó

69%

Draw or Vall de Uxó

55%

Winning margin

Ontinyent 1931 wins by 2+

20%

Vall de Uxó wins by 2+

Team goals

Ontinyent 1931 1+ goals

68%

Ontinyent 1931 2+ goals

32%

Ontinyent 1931 3+ goals

11%

Vall de Uxó 1+ goals

52%

Vall de Uxó 2+ goals

17%

Vall de Uxó 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Ontinyent 1931 (draw refunded)

66%

Vall de Uxó (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Ontinyent 1931 at home — creates 1.08, concedes 0.63 · 51 matches

Vall de Uxó away — creates 0.85, concedes 1.21 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Ontinyent 1931 attack 1.08 + Vall de Uxó defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.15

Vall de Uxó attack 0.85 + Ontinyent 1931 defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 45%?"

Ontinyent 1931 scores more

45%

level

31%

Vall de Uxó scores more

24%

Ontinyent 1931 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Ontinyent 1931 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ontinyent 1931 vs Vall de Uxó

Ontinyent 1931 and Vall de Uxó drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on September 29, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal El Clariano in Ontinyent.

Ontinyent 1931 vs Vall de Uxó — Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Ontinyent 1931 vs Vall de Uxó