Olympique Akbou 0–0 CR Belouizdad: Result & Stats

Olympique Akbou

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

CR Belouizdad

6/21/2025

Ligue 1 · Round 30Stade de l'Unité Maghrébine

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Olympique Akbou32%

×Draw32%

CR Belouizdad35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Olympique AkbouExpected goals in this matchCR Belouizdad

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.90

0.95

Olympique Akbou

0.90

CR Belouizdad

0.95

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 123 away

1.03

creates per match

1.22

0.67

allows per match

0.77

creates per match

Olympique Akbou

1.03

CR Belouizdad

1.22

allows per match

Olympique Akbou

0.67

CR Belouizdad

0.77

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Olympique Akbou+0.00on par

CR Belouizdad+0.00on par

Total goals

Under72
Over28

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olympique Akbou ↓

CR Belouizdad →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–115%

0–27%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–06%

2–16%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

55%45%2.5

28%72%3.5

12%88%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Olympique Akbou or draw

65%

Olympique Akbou or CR Belouizdad

68%

Draw or CR Belouizdad

68%

Winning margin

Olympique Akbou wins by 2+

11%

CR Belouizdad wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Olympique Akbou 1+ goals

59%

Olympique Akbou 2+ goals

23%

Olympique Akbou 3+ goals

6%

CR Belouizdad 1+ goals

61%

CR Belouizdad 2+ goals

25%

CR Belouizdad 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Olympique Akbou (draw refunded)

48%

CR Belouizdad (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olympique Akbou at home — creates 1.03, concedes 0.67 · 30 matches

CR Belouizdad away — creates 1.22, concedes 0.77 · 123 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olympique Akbou attack 1.03 + CR Belouizdad defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.90

CR Belouizdad attack 1.22 + Olympique Akbou defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Olympique Akbou scores more

32%

level

32%

CR Belouizdad scores more

35%

CR Belouizdad at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "CR Belouizdad will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff