Olímpico Totana 0–0 Bullense: Result & Stats

Olímpico Totana

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Bullense

2/14/2021

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 16Estadio Juan Cayuela

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Olímpico Totana54%

×Draw24%

Bullense21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Olímpico TotanaExpected goals in this matchBullense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.67

0.94

Olímpico Totana

1.67

Bullense

0.94

Olímpico Totana creates 78% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 79 away

1.20

creates per match

0.78

1.09

allows per match

2.13

creates per match

Olímpico Totana

1.20

Bullense

0.78

allows per match

Olímpico Totana

1.09

Bullense

2.13

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Olímpico Totana+0.00on par

Bullense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olímpico Totana ↓

Bullense →

0–07%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1–012%

1–112%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3–06%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Olímpico Totana or draw

79%

Olímpico Totana or Bullense

76%

Draw or Bullense

46%

Winning margin

Olímpico Totana wins by 2+

30%

Bullense wins by 2+

Team goals

Olímpico Totana 1+ goals

81%

Olímpico Totana 2+ goals

50%

Olímpico Totana 3+ goals

23%

Bullense 1+ goals

61%

Bullense 2+ goals

24%

Bullense 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Olímpico Totana (draw refunded)

72%

Bullense (draw refunded)

28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Olímpico Totana at home — creates 1.20, concedes 1.09 · 46 matches

Bullense away — creates 0.78, concedes 2.13 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Olímpico Totana attack 1.20 + Bullense defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.67

Bullense attack 0.78 + Olímpico Totana defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 54%?"

Olímpico Totana scores more

54%

level

24%

Bullense scores more

21%

Olímpico Totana at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Olímpico Totana will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13: Olímpico Totana 0–0 Bullense

Olímpico Totana and Bullense drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on February 14, 2021.

The match was played at Estadio Juan Cayuela in Totana.

Olímpico Totana vs Bullense — Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13: Olímpico Totana 0–0 Bullense