OFI 2–0 Levadiakos: Result & Stats | Super League 1

OFI

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Levadiakos

T. Nuss 75'

K. Kostoulas 38'

4/18/2026

Super League 1 · Conference League Group - 2Pankritio Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

OFI43%

×Draw26%

Levadiakos31%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

OFIExpected goals in this matchLevadiakos

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

1.15

OFI

1.40

Levadiakos

1.15

OFI creates 22% more chances

Season form · 131 home / 62 away

1.28

creates per match

1.00

1.29

allows per match

1.52

creates per match

OFI

1.28

Levadiakos

1.00

allows per match

OFI

1.29

Levadiakos

1.52

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

OFI+0.00on par

Levadiakos+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

OFI ↓

Levadiakos →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

OFI or draw

69%

OFI or Levadiakos

74%

Draw or Levadiakos

57%

Winning margin

OFI wins by 2+

20%

Levadiakos wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

OFI 1+ goals

75%

OFI 2+ goals

41%

OFI 3+ goals

17%

Levadiakos 1+ goals

68%

Levadiakos 2+ goals

32%

Levadiakos 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

OFI (draw refunded)

58%

Levadiakos (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

OFI at home — creates 1.28, concedes 1.29 · 131 matches

Levadiakos away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.52 · 62 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

OFI attack 1.28 + Levadiakos defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.40

Levadiakos attack 1.00 + OFI defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

OFI scores more

43%

level

26%

Levadiakos scores more

31%

OFI at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "OFI will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

27

L. Shengelia

OFI · F

9.0

Match Events

8'

I. Apostolakis← B. Gonzalez

38'

K. Kostoulas↳ E. Salcedo

43'

46'

46'

67'

71'

P. Symelidis← E. Cokaj

71'

F. Pedrozo← B. Verbic

72'

G. Kanellopoulos← Z. Karachalios

75'

T. Nuss↳ A. Androutsos

77'

Triantafyllos Tsapras

80'

G. Manthatis← T. Tsapras

82'

I. Chatzitheodoridis← T. Nuss

82'

I. Theodosoulakis← A. Androutsos

82'

N. Marinakis← L. Shengelia

84'

Sebastian Palacios

87'

Nikolaos Athanasiou

90+2'

Panagiotis Symelidis

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

OFILevadiakos

Overview

43%Possession57%

16Total Shots12

1.72Expected Goals (xG)0.57

3Corners1

14Fouls17

Shots

16Total Shots12

5On Target6

8Off Target5

3Blocked1

12Inside Box6

4Outside Box6

Passing

43%Possession57%

330Total Passes444

269Accurate Passes375

82%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

0.35Goals Prevented0.35

Discipline

14Fouls17

1Yellow Cards5

2Offsides1

Super League 1: OFI 2–0 Levadiakos

OFI beat Levadiakos 2-0 in Super League 1 on April 18, 2026.

Goals: K. Kostoulas (38'), T. Nuss (75').

Levadiakos controlled possession (57%) and registered 12 shots to 16.

The match was played at Pankritio Stadium in Heraklion.

OFI vs Levadiakos — Super League 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Super League 1: OFI 2–0 Levadiakos