Levadiakos 3–2 OFI: Result & Stats | Super League 1

Levadiakos

FT

3 – 2

HT: 0 – 2

OFI

O. Ozegovic 90'

G. Nikas 90'

F. Pedrozo 90'

E. Salcedo 37'

A. Androutsos 10'

5/13/2026

Super League 1 · Conference League Group - 5Levadia Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

Levadiakos46%

×Draw25%

OFI28%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevadiakosExpected goals in this matchOFI

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.53

1.14

Levadiakos

1.53

OFI

1.14

Levadiakos creates 34% more chances

Season form · 64 home / 127 away

1.41

creates per match

1.00

1.28

allows per match

1.65

creates per match

Levadiakos

1.41

OFI

1.00

allows per match

Levadiakos

1.28

OFI

1.65

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levadiakos+0.00on par

OFI+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levadiakos ↓

OFI →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Levadiakos or draw

72%

Levadiakos or OFI

75%

Draw or OFI

54%

Winning margin

Levadiakos wins by 2+

23%

OFI wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Levadiakos 1+ goals

78%

Levadiakos 2+ goals

45%

Levadiakos 3+ goals

20%

OFI 1+ goals

68%

OFI 2+ goals

32%

OFI 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Levadiakos (draw refunded)

62%

OFI (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

41%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levadiakos at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.28 · 64 matches

OFI away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.65 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levadiakos attack 1.41 + OFI defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.53

OFI attack 1.00 + Levadiakos defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Levadiakos scores more

46%

level

25%

OFI scores more

28%

Levadiakos at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Levadiakos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

8

G. Nikas

Levadiakos · M

7.9

Match Events

10'

18'

23'

25'

37'

E. Salcedo↳ L. Shengelia

43'

Zisis Karachalios

43'

Zisis Karachalios

45+1'

Eddie Salcedo

46'

F. Pedrozo← P. Symelidis

46'

A. Leya Iseka← E. Salcedo

61'

Alen OžboltGoal cancelled

65'

Thiago Nuss

65'

O. Ozegovic← E. Cokaj

68'

G. Kanellopoulos← T. Nuss

73'

Achilleas Poungouras

76'

G. Manthatis← T. Tsapras

76'

78'

83'

90+11'

90'

Ognjen OžegovićPenalty confirmed

90+12'

Juan Angel Neira

90+5'

Aaron Leya Iseka

90'

Nikolaos Christogeorgos

90'

Levan Shengelia

90+8'

J. Neira← I. Apostolakis

90+1'

V. Lampropoulos← A. Poungouras

90'

O. Ozegovic

90'

G. Nikas↳ G. Balzi

90'

F. Pedrozo↳ G. Manthatis

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevadiakosOFI

Overview

72%Possession28%

18Total Shots10

2.38Expected Goals (xG)0.72

5Corners1

18Fouls19

Shots

18Total Shots10

7On Target3

6Off Target5

5Blocked2

11Inside Box8

7Outside Box2

Passing

72%Possession28%

506Total Passes205

436Accurate Passes140

86%Pass Accuracy68%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

0.13Goals Prevented0.13

Discipline

18Fouls19

4Yellow Cards9

0Red Cards1

2Offsides0

Match Recap: Levadiakos vs OFI

Levadiakos beat OFI 3-2 in Super League 1 on May 13, 2026.

Goals: A. Androutsos (10'), E. Salcedo (37'), O. Ozegovic (90'), G. Nikas (90'), F. Pedrozo (90').

Levadiakos controlled possession (72%) and registered 18 shots to 10.

The match was played at Levadia Stadium in Levadia.

Levadiakos vs OFI — Super League 1 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Levadiakos vs OFI