Odra Opole vs Tychy 71 — I Liga 2018
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 136+ matches
Odra Opole41%
Tychy 7132%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Odra Opole creates 15% more chances
Season form · 136 home / 136 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under54
- Over46
Fewer than 3 goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes51
- No49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Odra Opole ↓
Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Odra Opole at home — creates 1.21, concedes 1.11 · 136 matches
Tychy 71 away — creates 1.22, concedes 1.50 · 136 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Odra Opole attack 1.21 + Tychy 71 defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.35
Tychy 71 attack 1.22 + Odra Opole defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.17
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 41%?"
Odra Opole at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 41% does not mean "Odra Opole will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Match Events
Raków Częstochowa
ŁKS Łódź
Stal Mielec
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Jastrzębie
PodbeskidzieTychy 71
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Stomil OlsztynOdra Opole
Warta Poznań
Chrobry Głogów
Wigry Suwałki
Bytovia Bytów
GKS Katowice
Garbarnia KrakówIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Odra Opole host Tychy 71 on Sunday, 10 August 2025 at 15:00. The match is part of the I Liga 2018/2019 season.
Match Recap: Odra Opole vs Tychy 71
Odra Opole and Tychy 71 drew 0-0 in I Liga on August 10, 2025.
The match was played at Itaka Arena in Opole.