Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nyva Vinnytsya vs Skala 1911 Stryi — Druha Liga - Group A 2019

Nyva Vinnytsya
Nyva Vinnytsya
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Skala 1911 Stryi
Skala 1911 Stryi
11/16/2025Druha Liga - Group ADruha Liga - Group A · Round 19NTB Nyva Pole 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 37+ matches

Nyva Vinnytsya39%
×Draw26%
Skala 1911 Stryi36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nyva Vinnytsya
1.40
Skala 1911 Stryi
1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 76 home / 37 away

creates per match

Nyva Vinnytsya
1.53
Skala 1911 Stryi
1.51

allows per match

Nyva Vinnytsya
1.16
Skala 1911 Stryi
1.27

finishing

Nyva Vinnytsya+0.00on par
Skala 1911 Stryi+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nyva Vinnytsya ↓

Skala 1911 Stryi →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Nyva Vinnytsya or draw
64%
Nyva Vinnytsya or Skala 1911 Stryi
74%
Draw or Skala 1911 Stryi
61%

Winning margin

Nyva Vinnytsya wins by 2+
18%
Skala 1911 Stryi wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Nyva Vinnytsya 1+ goals
75%
Nyva Vinnytsya 2+ goals
41%
Nyva Vinnytsya 3+ goals
17%
Skala 1911 Stryi 1+ goals
74%
Skala 1911 Stryi 2+ goals
38%
Skala 1911 Stryi 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Nyva Vinnytsya (draw refunded)
52%
Skala 1911 Stryi (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nyva Vinnytsya at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.16 · 76 matches

Skala 1911 Stryi away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.27 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nyva Vinnytsya attack 1.53 + Skala 1911 Stryi defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.40

Skala 1911 Stryi attack 1.51 + Nyva Vinnytsya defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Nyva Vinnytsya scores more
39%
level
26%
Skala 1911 Stryi scores more
36%

Nyva Vinnytsya at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Nyva Vinnytsya will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Druha Liga - Group A: Nyva Vinnytsya 1–2 Skala 1911 Stryi

Skala 1911 Stryi beat Nyva Vinnytsya 2-1 in Druha Liga - Group A on November 16, 2025.

The match was played at NTB Nyva Pole 1 in Vinnytsia.