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Nsuopun Fidelity vs Eleven Wise — Division One League 2025

Nsuopun Fidelity
Nsuopun Fidelity
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Eleven Wise
Eleven Wise
11/9/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 6

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Nsuopun Fidelity75%
×Draw18%
Eleven Wise8%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nsuopun Fidelity
2.10
Eleven Wise
0.50

Nsuopun Fidelity creates 320% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
1.93
Eleven Wise
0.13

allows per match

Nsuopun Fidelity
0.87
Eleven Wise
2.27

finishing

Nsuopun Fidelity+0.00on par
Eleven Wise+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nsuopun Fidelity ↓

Eleven Wise →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Nsuopun Fidelity or draw
92%
Nsuopun Fidelity or Eleven Wise
82%
Draw or Eleven Wise
25%

Winning margin

Nsuopun Fidelity wins by 2+
49%
Eleven Wise wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Nsuopun Fidelity 1+ goals
88%
Nsuopun Fidelity 2+ goals
62%
Nsuopun Fidelity 3+ goals
35%
Eleven Wise 1+ goals
39%
Eleven Wise 2+ goals
9%
Eleven Wise 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Nsuopun Fidelity (draw refunded)
91%
Eleven Wise (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nsuopun Fidelity at home — creates 1.93, concedes 0.87 · 15 matches

Eleven Wise away — creates 0.13, concedes 2.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nsuopun Fidelity attack 1.93 + Eleven Wise defence 2.27 → ÷2 → 2.10

Eleven Wise attack 0.13 + Nsuopun Fidelity defence 0.87 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Nsuopun Fidelity scores more
75%
level
18%
Eleven Wise scores more
8%

Nsuopun Fidelity at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Nsuopun Fidelity will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Nsuopun Fidelity 2–1 Eleven Wise

Nsuopun Fidelity beat Eleven Wise 2-1 in Division One League on November 9, 2025.