Nsoatreman 1–1 Great Olympics: Result & Stats

Nsoatreman

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 1

Great Olympics

C. Kudjoe 90+4'

E. Akesseh 23'

4/14/2024

Premier League · Round 26Nana Professor Koromansa II Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Nsoatreman53%

×Draw30%

Great Olympics17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

NsoatremanExpected goals in this matchGreat Olympics

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.25

0.56

Nsoatreman

1.25

Great Olympics

0.56

Nsoatreman creates 123% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 75 away

1.20

creates per match

0.61

0.52

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Nsoatreman

1.20

Great Olympics

0.61

allows per match

Nsoatreman

0.52

Great Olympics

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Nsoatreman+0.00on par

Great Olympics+0.00on par

Total goals

Under73
Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No69
Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nsoatreman ↓

Great Olympics →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–016%

0–19%

0–23%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–020%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–17%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

84%16%1.5

54%46%2.5

27%73%3.5

11%89%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Nsoatreman or draw

83%

Nsoatreman or Great Olympics

70%

Draw or Great Olympics

47%

Winning margin

Nsoatreman wins by 2+

25%

Great Olympics wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Nsoatreman 1+ goals

71%

Nsoatreman 2+ goals

36%

Nsoatreman 3+ goals

13%

Great Olympics 1+ goals

43%

Great Olympics 2+ goals

11%

Great Olympics 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Nsoatreman (draw refunded)

76%

Great Olympics (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

19%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nsoatreman at home — creates 1.20, concedes 0.52 · 46 matches

Great Olympics away — creates 0.61, concedes 1.29 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nsoatreman attack 1.20 + Great Olympics defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.25

Great Olympics attack 0.61 + Nsoatreman defence 0.52 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Nsoatreman scores more

53%

level

30%

Great Olympics scores more

17%

Nsoatreman at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Nsoatreman will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

23'

E. Akesseh

52'

C. Kudjoe← C. Kudjoe

63'

M. Kwabena← M. Kwabena

74'

M. Agyekum← M. Agyekum

75'

F. Nyarko← F. Nyarko

75'

B. Frimpong← B. Frimpong

75'

I. Mensah← M. Agama

76'

B. Asare

80'

R. Grippman

87'

G. Awako← M. K. Osei

90+3'

M. K. Osei

90+4'

C. Kudjoe

90+9'

B. Frimpong

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff