Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nsoatreman vs Accra Lions — Premier League 2019

Nsoatreman
Nsoatreman
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Accra Lions
Accra Lions
C. Kudjoe 6'
B. Kesse 25'
6/2/2024Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 32Nana Professor Koromansa II Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Nsoatreman58%
×Draw28%
Accra Lions15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nsoatreman
1.39
Accra Lions
0.55

Nsoatreman creates 153% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 67 away

creates per match

Nsoatreman
1.20
Accra Lions
0.58

allows per match

Nsoatreman
0.52
Accra Lions
1.57

finishing

Nsoatreman+0.00on par
Accra Lions+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nsoatreman ↓

Accra Lions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–18%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–111%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Nsoatreman or draw
85%
Nsoatreman or Accra Lions
72%
Draw or Accra Lions
42%

Winning margin

Nsoatreman wins by 2+
29%
Accra Lions wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Nsoatreman 1+ goals
75%
Nsoatreman 2+ goals
40%
Nsoatreman 3+ goals
16%
Accra Lions 1+ goals
42%
Accra Lions 2+ goals
11%
Accra Lions 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Nsoatreman (draw refunded)
80%
Accra Lions (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nsoatreman at home — creates 1.20, concedes 0.52 · 46 matches

Accra Lions away — creates 0.58, concedes 1.57 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nsoatreman attack 1.20 + Accra Lions defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.39

Accra Lions attack 0.58 + Nsoatreman defence 0.52 → ÷2 → 0.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Nsoatreman scores more
58%
level
28%
Accra Lions scores more
15%

Nsoatreman at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Nsoatreman will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
C. Kudjoe
25'
B. Kesse
46'
I. Issa← I. Issa
63'
I. Husein← I. Husein
71'
B. Kyemereh← B. Kyemereh
71'
A. Foster← A. Foster
71'
O. Antwi← O. Antwi
80'
W. Fuseini← W. Fuseini
80'
B. Acquaye← B. Acquaye
80'
E. Amakye← E. Amakye
80'
F. Asante← F. Asante
80'
A. Abubakari← A. Abubakari

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Nsoatreman 1–1 Accra Lions

Nsoatreman and Accra Lions drew 1-1 in Premier League on June 2, 2024.

Goals: C. Kudjoe (6'), B. Kesse (25').

The match was played at Nana Professor Koromansa II Park in Nsoatre.