Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Norway U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 — UEFA U19 Championship 2019

Norway U19
Norway U19
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Northern Ireland U19
Northern Ireland U19
D. Braut 65', 33'
7/21/2024UEFA U19 ChampionshipUEFA U19 Championship · Group Stage - 3Seaview

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Norway U1953%
×Draw21%
Northern Ireland U1926%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Norway U19
2.13
Northern Ireland U19
1.45

Norway U19 creates 47% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 3 away

creates per match

Norway U19
1.93
Northern Ireland U19
1.33

allows per match

Norway U19
1.57
Northern Ireland U19
2.33

finishing

Norway U19+0.00on par
Northern Ireland U19+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Norway U19 ↓

Northern Ireland U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Norway U19 or draw
74%
Norway U19 or Northern Ireland U19
79%
Draw or Northern Ireland U19
47%

Winning margin

Norway U19 wins by 2+
32%
Northern Ireland U19 wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Norway U19 1+ goals
88%
Norway U19 2+ goals
63%
Norway U19 3+ goals
35%
Northern Ireland U19 1+ goals
77%
Northern Ireland U19 2+ goals
42%
Northern Ireland U19 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Norway U19 (draw refunded)
67%
Northern Ireland U19 (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Norway U19 at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

Northern Ireland U19 away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Norway U19 attack 1.93 + Northern Ireland U19 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.13

Northern Ireland U19 attack 1.33 + Norway U19 defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Norway U19 scores more
53%
level
21%
Northern Ireland U19 scores more
26%

Norway U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Norway U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20
D. BrautNorway U19Norway U19 · F
9.3

Match Events

33'
D. Braut
56'
Samuel Glenfield
63'
R. Evans← J. Thompson
65'
D. Braut↳ S. Granaas
67'
E. Austbø← B. Bang-Kittelsen
67'
S. Kilen← B. Faraas
69'
Jack Doherty
71'
K. Morrison← Jack Doherty
77'
C. Smith← B. Graham
77'
L. Trickett← S. Glenfield
87'
K. Steinset← T. Hernes
90+1'
H. Røsten← E. Helland
90'
V. Auklend← A. Andresen

Possession

53%Norway

Shots

15Norway

Pass accuracy

50%Norway

Statistics

NorwayNorthern
Overview
53%Possession47%
15Total Shots9
8Corners2
15Fouls14
Shots
15Total Shots9
4On Target4
7Off Target3
4Blocked2
9Inside Box2
6Outside Box7
Passing
53%Possession47%
393Total Passes359
294Accurate Passes268
75%Pass Accuracy75%
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
Discipline
15Fouls14
0Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

UEFA U19 Championship: Norway U19 2–0 Northern Ireland U19

Norway U19 beat Northern Ireland U19 2-0 in UEFA U19 Championship on July 21, 2024.

Goals: D. Braut (33', 65').

Norway U19 controlled possession (53%) and registered 15 shots to 9.

The match was played at Seaview in Belfast.