Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nizhny Novgorod U19 vs CSKA Moskva U19 — Youth Championship 2026

Nizhny Novgorod U19
Nizhny Novgorod U19
FT
0 – 5
HT: 0 – 1
CSKA Moskva U19
CSKA Moskva U19
4/24/2026Youth ChampionshipYouth Championship · Round 7

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Nizhny Novgorod U1922%
×Draw22%
CSKA Moskva U1956%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nizhny Novgorod U19
1.16
CSKA Moskva U19
1.96

CSKA Moskva U19 creates 69% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 81 away

creates per match

Nizhny Novgorod U19
1.22
CSKA Moskva U19
2.25

allows per match

Nizhny Novgorod U19
1.66
CSKA Moskva U19
1.10

finishing

Nizhny Novgorod U19+0.00on par
CSKA Moskva U19+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nizhny Novgorod U19 ↓

CSKA Moskva U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–19%
0–29%
0–36%
0–43%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–210%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Nizhny Novgorod U19 or draw
44%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 or CSKA Moskva U19
78%
Draw or CSKA Moskva U19
78%

Winning margin

Nizhny Novgorod U19 wins by 2+
9%
CSKA Moskva U19 wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Nizhny Novgorod U19 1+ goals
69%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 2+ goals
32%
Nizhny Novgorod U19 3+ goals
11%
CSKA Moskva U19 1+ goals
86%
CSKA Moskva U19 2+ goals
58%
CSKA Moskva U19 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Nizhny Novgorod U19 (draw refunded)
29%
CSKA Moskva U19 (draw refunded)
71%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nizhny Novgorod U19 at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.66 · 74 matches

CSKA Moskva U19 away — creates 2.25, concedes 1.10 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nizhny Novgorod U19 attack 1.22 + CSKA Moskva U19 defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.16

CSKA Moskva U19 attack 2.25 + Nizhny Novgorod U19 defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Nizhny Novgorod U19 scores more
22%
level
22%
CSKA Moskva U19 scores more
56%

CSKA Moskva U19 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "CSKA Moskva U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Youth Championship: Nizhny Novgorod U19 0–5 CSKA Moskva U19

CSKA Moskva U19 beat Nizhny Novgorod U19 5-0 in Youth Championship on April 24, 2026.