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Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Biel-Bienne — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
CANC
12:00
Biel-Bienne
Biel-Bienne
7/17/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Neuchatel Xamax FC60%
×Draw17%
Biel-Bienne23%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Neuchatel Xamax FC
3.23
Biel-Bienne
2.04

Neuchatel Xamax FC creates 58% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 6 away

creates per match

Neuchatel Xamax FC
3.29
Biel-Bienne
2.00

allows per match

Neuchatel Xamax FC
2.07
Biel-Bienne
3.17

finishing

Neuchatel Xamax FC+0.00on par
Biel-Bienne+0.00on par

Total goals

89%Over
  • Over89
  • Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

83%Yes
  • Yes83
  • No17

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Neuchatel Xamax FC ↓

Biel-Bienne →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–02%
1–14%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–1 (6%) · grid covers 77% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
97%3%2.5
89%11%3.5
76%24%4.5
58%42%

Double chance

Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw
77%
Neuchatel Xamax FC or Biel-Bienne
83%
Draw or Biel-Bienne
40%

Winning margin

Neuchatel Xamax FC wins by 2+
41%
Biel-Bienne wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Neuchatel Xamax FC 1+ goals
96%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 2+ goals
82%
Neuchatel Xamax FC 3+ goals
61%
Biel-Bienne 1+ goals
87%
Biel-Bienne 2+ goals
60%
Biel-Bienne 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Neuchatel Xamax FC (draw refunded)
72%
Biel-Bienne (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
80%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Neuchatel Xamax FC at home — creates 3.29, concedes 2.07 · 14 matches

Biel-Bienne away — creates 2.00, concedes 3.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Neuchatel Xamax FC attack 3.29 + Biel-Bienne defence 3.17 → ÷2 → 3.23

Biel-Bienne attack 2.00 + Neuchatel Xamax FC defence 2.07 → ÷2 → 2.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Neuchatel Xamax FC scores more
60%
level
17%
Biel-Bienne scores more
23%

Neuchatel Xamax FC at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Neuchatel Xamax FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Biel-Bienne — Match Preview

Neuchatel Xamax FC face Biel-Bienne on July 17, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Neuchatel Xamax FC host Biel-Bienne at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.