Nantes W 0–0 Strasbourg W: Result & Stats

Nantes W

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Strasbourg W

3/15/2025

Feminine Division 1 · Round 17Stade Marcel-Saupin

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Nantes W48%

×Draw27%

Strasbourg W25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Nantes WExpected goals in this matchStrasbourg W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.43

0.95

Nantes W

1.43

Strasbourg W

0.95

Nantes W creates 51% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 22 away

1.18

creates per match

0.77

1.14

allows per match

1.68

creates per match

Nantes W

1.18

Strasbourg W

0.77

allows per match

Nantes W

1.14

Strasbourg W

1.68

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Nantes W+0.00on par

Strasbourg W+0.00on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nantes W ↓

Strasbourg W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

42%58%3.5

22%78%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Nantes W or draw

75%

Nantes W or Strasbourg W

73%

Draw or Strasbourg W

52%

Winning margin

Nantes W wins by 2+

24%

Strasbourg W wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Nantes W 1+ goals

76%

Nantes W 2+ goals

42%

Nantes W 3+ goals

17%

Strasbourg W 1+ goals

61%

Strasbourg W 2+ goals

25%

Strasbourg W 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Nantes W (draw refunded)

66%

Strasbourg W (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

34%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nantes W at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.14 · 22 matches

Strasbourg W away — creates 0.77, concedes 1.68 · 22 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nantes W attack 1.18 + Strasbourg W defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.43

Strasbourg W attack 0.77 + Nantes W defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Nantes W scores more

48%

level

27%

Strasbourg W scores more

25%

Nantes W at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Nantes W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

M. Wahl

Strasbourg W · G

8.5

Match Events

18'

Julie Machart-RabanneMissed penalty

46'

Pilar Khoury← E. Evels

47'

É. Bonet← A. Tchakounté

59'

R. Éloissant← L. Fleury

59'

C. Robillard← L. Storti

63'

A. Ould Braham← M. Uffren

65'

Sierra Enge

66'

Maeline Mendy← L. Hannequin

66'

M. Babou← E. Loving

84'

J. Pasquereau← Nelly Rodrigues

85'

S. Phiri← D. Marcano

89'

K. Chapelle← M. Hoeltzel

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

NantesStrasbourg

Overview

38%Possession62%

11Total Shots13

5Corners4

9Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots13

4On Target7

4Off Target3

3Blocked3

5Inside Box6

6Outside Box7

Passing

38%Possession62%

292Total Passes487

194Accurate Passes373

66%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

7Saves4

Discipline

9Fouls11

0Yellow Cards1

1Offsides1