N'Zidane 0–0 Nouakchott Academie: Result & Stats

N'Zidane

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Nouakchott Academie

4/29/2026

Premier League · Round 19

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

N'Zidane36%

×Draw31%

Nouakchott Academie34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

N'ZidaneExpected goals in this matchNouakchott Academie

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.02

0.98

N'Zidane

1.02

Nouakchott Academie

0.98

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 28 home / 13 away

1.50

creates per match

0.85

1.11

allows per match

0.54

creates per match

N'Zidane

1.50

Nouakchott Academie

0.85

allows per match

N'Zidane

1.11

Nouakchott Academie

0.54

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

N'Zidane+0.00on par

Nouakchott Academie+0.00on par

Total goals

Under68
Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

N'Zidane ↓

Nouakchott Academie →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–014%

0–113%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–014%

1–114%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

86%14%1.5

59%41%2.5

32%68%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

N'Zidane or draw

66%

N'Zidane or Nouakchott Academie

69%

Draw or Nouakchott Academie

64%

Winning margin

N'Zidane wins by 2+

14%

Nouakchott Academie wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

N'Zidane 1+ goals

64%

N'Zidane 2+ goals

27%

N'Zidane 3+ goals

8%

Nouakchott Academie 1+ goals

62%

Nouakchott Academie 2+ goals

26%

Nouakchott Academie 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

N'Zidane (draw refunded)

52%

Nouakchott Academie (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

N'Zidane at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.11 · 28 matches

Nouakchott Academie away — creates 0.85, concedes 0.54 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

N'Zidane attack 1.50 + Nouakchott Academie defence 0.54 → ÷2 → 1.02

Nouakchott Academie attack 0.85 + N'Zidane defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

N'Zidane scores more

36%

level

31%

Nouakchott Academie scores more

34%

N'Zidane at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "N'Zidane will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff