MSV Duisburg U19 0–0 Osnabrück U19: Result & Stats

MSV Duisburg U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Osnabrück U19

4/5/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 9BZA Westender Straße

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

MSV Duisburg U1953%

×Draw21%

Osnabrück U1926%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MSV Duisburg U19Expected goals in this matchOsnabrück U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.05

1.37

MSV Duisburg U19

2.05

Osnabrück U19

1.37

MSV Duisburg U19 creates 50% more chances

Season form · 64 home / 73 away

1.59

creates per match

1.29

1.45

allows per match

2.51

creates per match

MSV Duisburg U19

1.59

Osnabrück U19

1.29

allows per match

MSV Duisburg U19

1.45

Osnabrück U19

2.51

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

MSV Duisburg U19+0.00on par

Osnabrück U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

MSV Duisburg U19 ↓

Osnabrück U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

MSV Duisburg U19 or draw

74%

MSV Duisburg U19 or Osnabrück U19

79%

Draw or Osnabrück U19

47%

Winning margin

MSV Duisburg U19 wins by 2+

31%

Osnabrück U19 wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

MSV Duisburg U19 1+ goals

87%

MSV Duisburg U19 2+ goals

61%

MSV Duisburg U19 3+ goals

33%

Osnabrück U19 1+ goals

75%

Osnabrück U19 2+ goals

40%

Osnabrück U19 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

MSV Duisburg U19 (draw refunded)

67%

Osnabrück U19 (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

MSV Duisburg U19 at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.45 · 64 matches

Osnabrück U19 away — creates 1.29, concedes 2.51 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

MSV Duisburg U19 attack 1.59 + Osnabrück U19 defence 2.51 → ÷2 → 2.05

Osnabrück U19 attack 1.29 + MSV Duisburg U19 defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.37

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

MSV Duisburg U19 scores more

53%

level

21%

Osnabrück U19 scores more

26%

MSV Duisburg U19 at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "MSV Duisburg U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

L. Halfes Meis← F. Siemienik

64'

D. Kifel← R. Acar

64'

E. Zucht← J. Völkerding

75'

L. Bukvić← N. Scheuer

80'

A. Gorczycki← Y. Scholl

90'

M. Tomljanović← L. Gashi

90'

S. Barnes← F. Meurer

90'

F. Albrecht← C. Akbas

90'

L. Uwandu← R. Shivani

MSV

Osnabrück

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: M. Jahn

46'▲L. Halfes Meis←▼F. Siemienik

80'▲A. Gorczycki←▼Y. Scholl

90'▲M. Tomljanović←▼L. Gashi

90'▲S. Barnes←▼F. Meurer

MSV Duisburg U19 substitutes

MeisGorczyckiTomljanovićBarnesFrederikKrasenbrinkMykhailenko

Manager: T. Danneberg

64'▲D. Kifel←▼R. Acar

64'▲E. Zucht←▼J. Völkerding

75'▲L. Bukvić←▼N. Scheuer

90'▲F. Albrecht←▼C. Akbas

90'▲L. Uwandu←▼R. Shivani

Osnabrück U19 substitutes

KifelZuchtBukvićAlbrechtUwanduSiemonBischoff

Match Recap: MSV Duisburg U19 vs Osnabrück U19

MSV Duisburg U19 and Osnabrück U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on April 5, 2025.

The match was played at BZA Westender Straße in Duisburg.

MSV Duisburg U19 vs Osnabrück U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: MSV Duisburg U19 vs Osnabrück U19