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Moyale Barracks vs Silver Strikers — Super League 2026

Moyale Barracks
Moyale Barracks
Preview
12:30
Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
10/18/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 17
Big match
35%
Moyale Barracks
model favours
35%32%33%

90% of Moyale Barracks’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

0–0
likely score
71%
under 2.5 goals
37%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 81+ matches

Moyale Barracks35%
×Draw32%
Silver Strikers33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Moyale Barracks
0.96
Silver Strikers
0.93

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 81 home / 84 away

creates per match

Moyale Barracks
1.23
Silver Strikers
1.17

allows per match

Moyale Barracks
0.69
Silver Strikers
0.70

finishing

Moyale Barracks+0.00on par
Silver Strikers+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Moyale Barracks ↓

Silver Strikers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–114%
0–27%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
56%44%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Moyale Barracks or draw
67%
Moyale Barracks or Silver Strikers
68%
Draw or Silver Strikers
65%

Winning margin

Moyale Barracks wins by 2+
13%
Silver Strikers wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Moyale Barracks 1+ goals
62%
Moyale Barracks 2+ goals
25%
Moyale Barracks 3+ goals
7%
Silver Strikers 1+ goals
61%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
24%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Moyale Barracks (draw refunded)
51%
Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Moyale Barracks at home — creates 1.23, concedes 0.69 · 81 matches

Silver Strikers away — creates 1.17, concedes 0.70 · 84 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Moyale Barracks attack 1.23 + Silver Strikers defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.96

Silver Strikers attack 1.17 + Moyale Barracks defence 0.69 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Moyale Barracks scores more
35%
level
32%
Silver Strikers scores more
33%

Moyale Barracks at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Moyale Barracks will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 10% of Moyale Barracks’s matches
  • Moyale Barracks score first in only 30% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Barracks
LDWD
Strikers
DWDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Moyale Barracks face Silver Strikers (Super League)

Super League returns with Moyale Barracks hosting Silver Strikers. Match starts October 18, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.