Montenegro U19 1–1 Georgia U19: Result & Stats

Montenegro U19

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Georgia U19

A. Vukoje 58'

A. Bartishvili 56' (pen)

6/3/2026

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualification - Round 1 - League B - 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Montenegro U1949%

×Draw22%

Georgia U1929%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Montenegro U19Expected goals in this matchGeorgia U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.96

1.48

Montenegro U19

1.96

Georgia U19

1.48

Montenegro U19 creates 32% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

1.63

creates per match

1.07

1.88

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Montenegro U19

1.63

Georgia U19

1.07

allows per match

Montenegro U19

1.88

Georgia U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Montenegro U19+0.00on par

Georgia U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Montenegro U19 ↓

Georgia U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Montenegro U19 or draw

71%

Montenegro U19 or Georgia U19

78%

Draw or Georgia U19

51%

Winning margin

Montenegro U19 wins by 2+

28%

Georgia U19 wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Montenegro U19 1+ goals

86%

Montenegro U19 2+ goals

58%

Montenegro U19 3+ goals

31%

Georgia U19 1+ goals

77%

Georgia U19 2+ goals

43%

Georgia U19 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Montenegro U19 (draw refunded)

62%

Georgia U19 (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Montenegro U19 at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.88 · 8 matches

Georgia U19 away — creates 1.07, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Montenegro U19 attack 1.63 + Georgia U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.96

Georgia U19 attack 1.07 + Montenegro U19 defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Montenegro U19 scores more

49%

level

22%

Georgia U19 scores more

29%

Montenegro U19 at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Montenegro U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'

P. RaznatovicMissed penalty

23'

D. Maras

52'

P. Raznatovic

56'

V. Lesjak

56'

A. BartishviliPenalty

58'

D. Chochoshvili

58'

A. Vukoje

60'

K. Kakashvili← N. Barikhashvili

64'

T. Nebulishvili← A. Bartishvili

69'

V. Mijovic← A. Vukoje

69'

K. Vujacic← V. Bubanja

76'

K. Kakashvili

81'

G. Lomidze

83'

P. Sekulovic

87'

P. Jasovic← V. Lesjak

90+3'

P. Lalovic← M. Jovanovic

90+3'

M. Popovic← V. Knezevic

90+3'

S. Diakonidze← L. Tsikolia

90+3'

S. Avdoevi← S. Mikautadze

Montenegro

Georgia

1

2

3

4

15

19

6

▼

Tsikolia

10

⚽

▼

Bartishvi

20

▼

Barikhash

16

▼

18

1

3

6

5

2

20

▼

Bubanja

22

Raznatovi

17

▼

Lesjak

10

⚽

▼

Vukoje

7

▼

Jovanovic

28

▼

Knezevic

Manager: Nenad Vukcevic

69'▲V. Mijovic←▼A. Vukoje

69'▲K. Vujacic←▼V. Bubanja

87'▲P. Jasovic←▼V. Lesjak

90+3'▲P. Lalovic←▼M. Jovanovic

90+3'▲M. Popovic←▼V. Knezevic

Montenegro U19 substitutes

12Lekic4Kostic8Mijovic11Fabris14Vujacic15Lalovic18Jasovic19Glendza21Popovic

Manager: L. Pirtskhalaishvili

60'▲K. Kakashvili←▼N. Barikhashvili

64'▲T. Nebulishvili←▼A. Bartishvili

90+3'▲S. Diakonidze←▼L. Tsikolia

90+3'▲S. Avdoevi←▼S. Mikautadze

Georgia U19 substitutes

12Asanidze7Diakonidze8Kakashvili9Silakadze11Nebulishvili14Melashvili17Avdoevi

Match Recap: Montenegro U19 vs Georgia U19

Montenegro U19 and Georgia U19 drew 1-1 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on June 3, 2026.

Goals: A. Bartishvili (56' pen), A. Vukoje (58').

Montenegro U19 vs Georgia U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Montenegro U19 vs Georgia U19