Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Mighty Royals vs KAC Soccer — Division One League 2025

Mighty Royals
Mighty Royals
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
KAC Soccer
KAC Soccer
1/4/2026Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 14

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Mighty Royals53%
×Draw23%
KAC Soccer24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mighty Royals
1.83
KAC Soccer
1.14

Mighty Royals creates 61% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 14 away

creates per match

Mighty Royals
2.29
KAC Soccer
1.21

allows per match

Mighty Royals
1.07
KAC Soccer
1.36

finishing

Mighty Royals+0.00on par
KAC Soccer+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mighty Royals ↓

KAC Soccer →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Mighty Royals or draw
76%
Mighty Royals or KAC Soccer
77%
Draw or KAC Soccer
47%

Winning margin

Mighty Royals wins by 2+
30%
KAC Soccer wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Mighty Royals 1+ goals
84%
Mighty Royals 2+ goals
54%
Mighty Royals 3+ goals
28%
KAC Soccer 1+ goals
68%
KAC Soccer 2+ goals
32%
KAC Soccer 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Mighty Royals (draw refunded)
69%
KAC Soccer (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mighty Royals at home — creates 2.29, concedes 1.07 · 14 matches

KAC Soccer away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.36 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mighty Royals attack 2.29 + KAC Soccer defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.83

KAC Soccer attack 1.21 + Mighty Royals defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Mighty Royals scores more
53%
level
23%
KAC Soccer scores more
24%

Mighty Royals at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Mighty Royals will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mighty Royals vs KAC Soccer

Mighty Royals and KAC Soccer drew 1-1 in Division One League on January 4, 2026.