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Mezokovesd-zsory vs Ferencvarosi TC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Mezokovesd-zsory
Mezokovesd-zsory
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
1/12/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Mezokovesd-zsory39%
×Draw25%
Ferencvarosi TC36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mezokovesd-zsory
1.45
Ferencvarosi TC
1.39

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 18 home / 11 away

creates per match

Mezokovesd-zsory
2.17
Ferencvarosi TC
1.27

allows per match

Mezokovesd-zsory
1.50
Ferencvarosi TC
0.73

finishing

Mezokovesd-zsory+0.00on par
Ferencvarosi TC+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mezokovesd-zsory ↓

Ferencvarosi TC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Mezokovesd-zsory or draw
64%
Mezokovesd-zsory or Ferencvarosi TC
75%
Draw or Ferencvarosi TC
61%

Winning margin

Mezokovesd-zsory wins by 2+
18%
Ferencvarosi TC wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Mezokovesd-zsory 1+ goals
77%
Mezokovesd-zsory 2+ goals
42%
Mezokovesd-zsory 3+ goals
18%
Ferencvarosi TC 1+ goals
75%
Ferencvarosi TC 2+ goals
40%
Ferencvarosi TC 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Mezokovesd-zsory (draw refunded)
52%
Ferencvarosi TC (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mezokovesd-zsory at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.50 · 18 matches

Ferencvarosi TC away — creates 1.27, concedes 0.73 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mezokovesd-zsory attack 2.17 + Ferencvarosi TC defence 0.73 → ÷2 → 1.45

Ferencvarosi TC attack 1.27 + Mezokovesd-zsory defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Mezokovesd-zsory scores more
39%
level
25%
Ferencvarosi TC scores more
36%

Mezokovesd-zsory at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Mezokovesd-zsory will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mezokovesd-zsory vs Ferencvarosi TC

Ferencvarosi TC beat Mezokovesd-zsory 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 12, 2024.

The match was played at TBC in TBC.