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Ferencvarosi TC vs Mezokovesd-zsory — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC
FT
0 – 1
Mezokovesd-zsory
Mezokovesd-zsory
5/17/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Groupama Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Ferencvarosi TC60%
×Draw25%
Mezokovesd-zsory16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.68

Ferencvarosi TC creates 135% more chances

Season form · 12 home / 5 away

creates per match

Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.60

allows per match

Ferencvarosi TC
0.75
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.20

finishing

Ferencvarosi TC+0.00on par
Mezokovesd-zsory+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ferencvarosi TC ↓

Mezokovesd-zsory →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–17%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Ferencvarosi TC or draw
84%
Ferencvarosi TC or Mezokovesd-zsory
75%
Draw or Mezokovesd-zsory
40%

Winning margin

Ferencvarosi TC wins by 2+
32%
Mezokovesd-zsory wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Ferencvarosi TC 1+ goals
80%
Ferencvarosi TC 2+ goals
47%
Ferencvarosi TC 3+ goals
22%
Mezokovesd-zsory 1+ goals
49%
Mezokovesd-zsory 2+ goals
15%
Mezokovesd-zsory 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Ferencvarosi TC (draw refunded)
79%
Mezokovesd-zsory (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ferencvarosi TC at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.75 · 12 matches

Mezokovesd-zsory away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ferencvarosi TC attack 2.00 + Mezokovesd-zsory defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.60

Mezokovesd-zsory attack 0.60 + Ferencvarosi TC defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Ferencvarosi TC scores more
60%
level
25%
Mezokovesd-zsory scores more
16%

Ferencvarosi TC at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Ferencvarosi TC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Ferencvarosi TC 0–1 Mezokovesd-zsory

Mezokovesd-zsory beat Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 17, 2020.

The match was played at Groupama Aréna in Budapest.