Meppen U19 3–0 Meerbusch U19: Result & Stats

Meppen U19

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Meerbusch U19

M. Kolhoff 90+5'

M. Herrmann 67'

A. Muja 42'

8/14/2024

U19 Bundesliga · 1st Group Stage - 3Nebenplatz Hänsch-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Meppen U1951%

×Draw22%

Meerbusch U1927%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.5%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 577,134 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.8% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Meppen U19Expected goals in this matchMeerbusch U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.03

1.44

Meppen U19

2.03

Meerbusch U19

1.44

Meppen U19 creates 41% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 14 away

1.77

creates per match

1.14

1.75

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Meppen U19

1.77

Meerbusch U19

1.14

allows per match

Meppen U19

1.75

Meerbusch U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Meppen U19+0.00on par

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Meppen U19 ↓

Meerbusch U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–23%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

Meppen U19 or draw

73%

Meppen U19 or Meerbusch U19

78%

Draw or Meerbusch U19

49%

Winning margin

Meppen U19 wins by 2+

30%

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Meppen U19 1+ goals

87%

Meppen U19 2+ goals

60%

Meppen U19 3+ goals

33%

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

76%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

42%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Meppen U19 (draw refunded)

65%

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Meppen U19 at home — creates 1.77, concedes 1.75 · 52 matches

Meerbusch U19 away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Meppen U19 attack 1.77 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.03

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.14 + Meppen U19 defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Meppen U19 scores more

51%

level

22%

Meerbusch U19 scores more

27%

Meppen U19 at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Meppen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

P. Müller← J. Estrada

25'

42'

46'

46'

46'

61'

B. Klein← S. Roga

67'

M. Herrmann

71'

M. Klaß← J. Dünnebacke

72'

Y. El Kandri← C. Venos

72'

Y. Zeller← J. Ilunga

77'

C. Zaunbrecher← D. Gyamfi

86'

J. Dindić← H. Wittrock

90+5'

M. Kolhoff

Meppen

Meerbusch

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Manager: C. Stammermann

46'▲J. Frohne←▼L. Thöle

61'▲B. Klein←▼S. Roga

71'▲M. Klaß←▼J. Dünnebacke

86'▲J. Dindić←▼H. Wittrock

Meppen U19 substitutes

FrohneKleinKlaßDindićCotorHelbichMeyer

Manager: D. Granata

18'▲P. Müller←▼J. Estrada

46'▲D. Aserov←▼T. Behle

46'▲F. Breuer←▼L. Lahi

72'▲Y. El Kandri←▼C. Venos

72'▲Y. Zeller←▼J. Ilunga

77'▲C. Zaunbrecher←▼D. Gyamfi

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

MüllerAserovBreuerKandriZellerZaunbrecherGrabek

U19 Bundesliga: Meppen U19 3–0 Meerbusch U19

Meppen U19 beat Meerbusch U19 3-0 in U19 Bundesliga on August 14, 2024.

Goals: A. Muja (42'), M. Herrmann (67'), M. Kolhoff (90+5').

The match was played at Nebenplatz Hänsch-Arena in Meppen.

Meppen U19 vs Meerbusch U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Meppen U19 3–0 Meerbusch U19