Meerbusch U19 3–4 FSV Frankfurt U19: Result & Stats

Meerbusch U19

FT

3 – 4

HT: 1 – 2

FSV Frankfurt U19

S. Savicevic 78'

C. Venos 46'

V. Habarov 5'

N. Zaatan 90+3', 39', 38' (pen)

F. Classen 90'

5/10/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 13Rasenplatz Lank

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Meerbusch U1931%

×Draw21%

FSV Frankfurt U1948%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Meerbusch U19Expected goals in this matchFSV Frankfurt U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.66

2.08

Meerbusch U19

1.66

FSV Frankfurt U19

2.08

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 25% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 31 away

1.21

creates per match

1.23

2.93

allows per match

2.10

creates per match

Meerbusch U19

1.21

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.23

allows per match

Meerbusch U19

2.93

FSV Frankfurt U19

2.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over72
Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes71
No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Meerbusch U19 ↓

FSV Frankfurt U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–15%

0–25%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–04%

1–18%

1–29%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–17%

2–27%

2–35%

2–43%

3

3–02%

3–14%

3–24%

3–33%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–22%

4–31%

4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

89%11%2.5

72%28%3.5

51%49%4.5

32%68%

Double chance

Meerbusch U19 or draw

52%

Meerbusch U19 or FSV Frankfurt U19

79%

Draw or FSV Frankfurt U19

69%

Winning margin

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

15%

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+

27%

Team goals

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

81%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

49%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

23%

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals

87%

FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals

61%

FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals

34%

Draw no bet

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

40%

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)

60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

63%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Meerbusch U19 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 2.93 · 14 matches

FSV Frankfurt U19 away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.10 · 31 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.21 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 2.10 → ÷2 → 1.66

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.23 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.93 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Meerbusch U19 scores more

31%

level

21%

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more

48%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'

V. Habarov

38'

N. ZaatanPenalty

39'

N. Zaatan

46'

F. Breuer← L. Lahi

46'

K. Mischtal← J. Gaudian

46'

M. Ucar← I. Özel

46'

C. Venos

60'

S. Savicevic← V. Habarov

62'

A. Marjane← M. Birinci

62'

T. Wanner← A. Husovic

67'

T. Behle← P. Müller

70'

S. Orhan← C. Dramali

78'

F. Classen← D. Major

78'

G. da Silva Pereira← T. Grimmer

78'

S. Savicevic

90+5'

I. Ghait← J. Schlotter

90'

F. Classen

90+3'

N. Zaatan

Meerbusch

FSV

▼

▼

▼

⚽3

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽

⚽

▼

Habarov

▼

Schlotter

▼

Özel

Manager: M. Roch

46'▲F. Breuer←▼L. Lahi

46'▲K. Mischtal←▼J. Gaudian

46'▲M. Ucar←▼I. Özel

60'▲S. Savicevic←▼V. Habarov

67'▲T. Behle←▼P. Müller

90+5'▲I. Ghait←▼J. Schlotter

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

BreuerMischtalUcarSavicevicBehleGhaitSpagnolo

Manager: B. Yelken

62'▲A. Marjane←▼M. Birinci

62'▲T. Wanner←▼A. Husovic

70'▲S. Orhan←▼C. Dramali

78'▲F. Classen←▼D. Major

78'▲G. da Silva Pereira←▼T. Grimmer

FSV Frankfurt U19 substitutes

MarjaneWannerOrhanClassenPereiraSeiler

Match Recap: Meerbusch U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19

FSV Frankfurt U19 beat Meerbusch U19 4-3 in U19 Bundesliga on May 10, 2025.

Goals: V. Habarov (5'), N. Zaatan (38' pen, 39', 90+3'), C. Venos (46'), S. Savicevic (78'), F. Classen (90').

The match was played at Rasenplatz Lank in Meerbusch.

Meerbusch U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Meerbusch U19 vs FSV Frankfurt U19