FSV Frankfurt U19 3–0 Meerbusch U19: Result & Stats

FSV Frankfurt U19

FT

3 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Meerbusch U19

D. Major 83', 58'

S. Orhan 66'

3/8/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 6Kunstrasenplatz F-Goldstein

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

FSV Frankfurt U1946%

×Draw22%

Meerbusch U1932%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

FSV Frankfurt U19Expected goals in this matchMeerbusch U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

1.55

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.91

Meerbusch U19

1.55

FSV Frankfurt U19 creates 23% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 14 away

1.52

creates per match

1.14

1.97

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.52

Meerbusch U19

1.14

allows per match

FSV Frankfurt U19

1.97

Meerbusch U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

FSV Frankfurt U19+0.00on par

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over67
Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes67
No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

FSV Frankfurt U19 ↓

Meerbusch U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–19%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

86%14%2.5

67%33%3.5

45%55%4.5

26%74%

Double chance

FSV Frankfurt U19 or draw

68%

FSV Frankfurt U19 or Meerbusch U19

78%

Draw or Meerbusch U19

54%

Winning margin

FSV Frankfurt U19 wins by 2+

26%

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

15%

Team goals

FSV Frankfurt U19 1+ goals

85%

FSV Frankfurt U19 2+ goals

57%

FSV Frankfurt U19 3+ goals

30%

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

79%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

46%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

FSV Frankfurt U19 (draw refunded)

59%

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

58%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

FSV Frankfurt U19 at home — creates 1.52, concedes 1.97 · 31 matches

Meerbusch U19 away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

FSV Frankfurt U19 attack 1.52 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 1.91

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.14 + FSV Frankfurt U19 defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

FSV Frankfurt U19 scores more

46%

level

22%

Meerbusch U19 scores more

32%

FSV Frankfurt U19 at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "FSV Frankfurt U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'

J. Karakis← J. Asamoah

58'

66'

68'

68'

68'

Y. Zeller← Y. El Kandri

73'

M. Janssen← C. Dramali

75'

T. Wanner← S. Orhan

78'

P. Müller← B. Gebes

78'

T. Behle← J. Gaudian

81'

S. Kusumovic← T. Grimmer

83'

D. Major

FSV

Meerbusch

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

⚽2

⚽

▼

Orhan

Manager: B. Yelken

73'▲M. Janssen←▼C. Dramali

75'▲T. Wanner←▼S. Orhan

81'▲S. Kusumovic←▼T. Grimmer

FSV Frankfurt U19 substitutes

JanssenWannerKusumovicWagner

Manager: M. Roch

58'▲J. Karakis←▼J. Asamoah

68'▲K. Mischtal←▼L. Lahi

68'▲V. Habarov←▼C. Venos

68'▲Y. Zeller←▼Y. El Kandri

78'▲P. Müller←▼B. Gebes

78'▲T. Behle←▼J. Gaudian

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

KarakisMischtalHabarovZellerMüllerBehleVarzandeh