Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Masr vs Future FC — Premier League 2018

Masr
Masr
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Future FC
Future FC
3/11/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 15Cairo International Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 64+ matches

Masr34%
×Draw30%
Future FC36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Masr
1.04
Future FC
1.07

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 64 home / 81 away

creates per match

Masr
1.02
Future FC
1.14

allows per match

Masr
1.00
Future FC
1.06

finishing

Masr+0.00on par
Future FC+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Masr ↓

Future FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–113%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Masr or draw
64%
Masr or Future FC
70%
Draw or Future FC
66%

Winning margin

Masr wins by 2+
13%
Future FC wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Masr 1+ goals
65%
Masr 2+ goals
28%
Masr 3+ goals
9%
Future FC 1+ goals
66%
Future FC 2+ goals
29%
Future FC 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Masr (draw refunded)
49%
Future FC (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Masr at home — creates 1.02, concedes 1.00 · 64 matches

Future FC away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.06 · 81 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Masr attack 1.02 + Future FC defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.04

Future FC attack 1.14 + Masr defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Masr scores more
34%
level
30%
Future FC scores more
36%

Future FC at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Future FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Masr 2–0 Future FC

Masr beat Future FC 2-0 in Premier League on March 11, 2026.

The match was played at Cairo International Stadium in Cairo.