Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Masfut vs Al Ramms — Division 1 2018

Masfut
Masfut
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Al Ramms
Al Ramms
2/19/2022Division 1Division 1 · Round 20Masfut Club Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Masfut48%
×Draw24%
Al Ramms28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Masfut
1.69
Al Ramms
1.23

Masfut creates 37% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 43 away

creates per match

Masfut
1.18
Al Ramms
0.95

allows per match

Masfut
1.52
Al Ramms
2.19

finishing

Masfut+0.00on par
Al Ramms+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Masfut ↓

Al Ramms →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Masfut or draw
72%
Masfut or Al Ramms
76%
Draw or Al Ramms
52%

Winning margin

Masfut wins by 2+
26%
Al Ramms wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Masfut 1+ goals
82%
Masfut 2+ goals
50%
Masfut 3+ goals
24%
Al Ramms 1+ goals
71%
Al Ramms 2+ goals
35%
Al Ramms 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Masfut (draw refunded)
63%
Al Ramms (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Masfut at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.52 · 100 matches

Al Ramms away — creates 0.95, concedes 2.19 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Masfut attack 1.18 + Al Ramms defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.69

Al Ramms attack 0.95 + Masfut defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Masfut scores more
48%
level
24%
Al Ramms scores more
28%

Masfut at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Masfut will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Masfut vs Al Ramms

Masfut beat Al Ramms 1-0 in Division 1 on February 19, 2022.

The match was played at Masfut Club Stadium in Masfut.