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Marumo Gallants vs Orbit College — Premier Soccer League 2018

Marumo Gallants
Marumo Gallants
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Orbit College
Orbit College
4/12/2026Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 24Thohoyandou Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Marumo Gallants42%
×Draw30%
Orbit College27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Marumo Gallants
1.14
Orbit College
0.86

Marumo Gallants creates 33% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 17 away

creates per match

Marumo Gallants
0.86
Orbit College
0.71

allows per match

Marumo Gallants
1.01
Orbit College
1.41

finishing

Marumo Gallants+0.00on par
Orbit College+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Marumo Gallants ↓

Orbit College →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Marumo Gallants or draw
73%
Marumo Gallants or Orbit College
70%
Draw or Orbit College
58%

Winning margin

Marumo Gallants wins by 2+
18%
Orbit College wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Marumo Gallants 1+ goals
68%
Marumo Gallants 2+ goals
32%
Marumo Gallants 3+ goals
11%
Orbit College 1+ goals
58%
Orbit College 2+ goals
21%
Orbit College 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Marumo Gallants (draw refunded)
60%
Orbit College (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Marumo Gallants at home — creates 0.86, concedes 1.01 · 76 matches

Orbit College away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.41 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Marumo Gallants attack 0.86 + Orbit College defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.14

Orbit College attack 0.71 + Marumo Gallants defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Marumo Gallants scores more
42%
level
30%
Orbit College scores more
27%

Marumo Gallants at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Marumo Gallants will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

16
S. MoeraneOrbit CollegeOrbit College · G
7.6

Match Events

45'
Ndumiso Ngiba
59'
L. Mahlatsi← A. Mariko
64'
Thabang MahlanguMissed penalty
69'
Sekela Sithole
73'
M. Marou← J. Clifford
73'
S. Mabele← L. Lesako
73'
A. Lukhele← Ciro
83'
M. Sikhosana← K. Mhlongo
85'
M. Mpambaniso← S. Sithole

Possession

54%Marumo

Shots

13Marumo

Pass accuracy

50%Marumo

Statistics

MarumoOrbit
Overview
54%Possession46%
13Total Shots13
5Corners5
9Fouls15
Shots
13Total Shots13
3On Target2
7Off Target7
3Blocked4
9Inside Box5
4Outside Box8
Passing
54%Possession46%
342Total Passes297
251Accurate Passes215
73%Pass Accuracy72%
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
Discipline
9Fouls15
1Yellow Cards1
4Offsides1

Premier Soccer League: Marumo Gallants 0–0 Orbit College

Marumo Gallants and Orbit College drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on April 12, 2026.

Marumo Gallants controlled possession (54%) and registered 13 shots to 13.

The match was played at Thohoyandou Stadium in Thohoyandou.