Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks — New South Wales NPL 2026

Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
FT
3 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks
M. Busek 34'
J. Swibel 32'
A. Duricic 10'
8/31/2025New South Wales NPLNew South Wales NPL · Round 30Marconi Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Marconi Stallions52%
×Draw22%
Sutherland Sharks26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Marconi Stallions
1.91
Sutherland Sharks
1.29

Marconi Stallions creates 48% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 91 away

creates per match

Marconi Stallions
2.16
Sutherland Sharks
1.29

allows per match

Marconi Stallions
1.28
Sutherland Sharks
1.65

finishing

Marconi Stallions+0.00on par
Sutherland Sharks+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Marconi Stallions ↓

Sutherland Sharks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
40%60%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Marconi Stallions or draw
74%
Marconi Stallions or Sutherland Sharks
78%
Draw or Sutherland Sharks
48%

Winning margin

Marconi Stallions wins by 2+
29%
Sutherland Sharks wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Marconi Stallions 1+ goals
85%
Marconi Stallions 2+ goals
57%
Marconi Stallions 3+ goals
30%
Sutherland Sharks 1+ goals
72%
Sutherland Sharks 2+ goals
37%
Sutherland Sharks 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Marconi Stallions (draw refunded)
67%
Sutherland Sharks (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Marconi Stallions at home — creates 2.16, concedes 1.28 · 97 matches

Sutherland Sharks away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.65 · 91 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Marconi Stallions attack 2.16 + Sutherland Sharks defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.91

Sutherland Sharks attack 1.29 + Marconi Stallions defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Marconi Stallions scores more
52%
level
22%
Sutherland Sharks scores more
26%

Marconi Stallions at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Marconi Stallions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
A. Duricic
32'
J. Swibel
34'
M. Busek

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Marconi Stallions 3 – 0 Sutherland Sharks

Marconi Stallions beat Sutherland Sharks 3-0 in New South Wales NPL on August 31, 2025.

Goals: A. Duricic (10'), J. Swibel (32'), M. Busek (34').

The match was played at Marconi Stadium in Sydney.