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Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Traiskirchen — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Traiskirchen
Traiskirchen
5/8/2026Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost · Ost - 30Aulandstadion Mannsdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 100+ matches

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf47%
×Draw23%
Traiskirchen30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.86
Traiskirchen
1.44

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf creates 29% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 101 away

creates per match

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.99
Traiskirchen
1.73

allows per match

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
1.15
Traiskirchen
1.73

finishing

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf+0.00on par
Traiskirchen+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%Yes
  • Yes64
  • No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf ↓

Traiskirchen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf or draw
70%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf or Traiskirchen
77%
Draw or Traiskirchen
53%

Winning margin

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf wins by 2+
26%
Traiskirchen wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1+ goals
84%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 2+ goals
55%
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 3+ goals
28%
Traiskirchen 1+ goals
76%
Traiskirchen 2+ goals
42%
Traiskirchen 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (draw refunded)
61%
Traiskirchen (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
54%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at home — creates 1.99, concedes 1.15 · 100 matches

Traiskirchen away — creates 1.73, concedes 1.73 · 101 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf attack 1.99 + Traiskirchen defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.86

Traiskirchen attack 1.73 + Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf scores more
47%
level
23%
Traiskirchen scores more
30%

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Traiskirchen

Traiskirchen beat Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 3-1 in Regionalliga - Ost on May 8, 2026.

The match was played at Aulandstadion Mannsdorf in Mannsdorf an der Donau.