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Mangasport vs Oyem AC — Championnat D1 2022

Mangasport
Mangasport
FT
4 – 3
HT: 3 – 1
Oyem AC
Oyem AC
5/26/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 17

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Mangasport45%
×Draw25%
Oyem AC30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mangasport
1.52
Oyem AC
1.19

Mangasport creates 28% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 13 away

creates per match

Mangasport
2.13
Oyem AC
1.69

allows per match

Mangasport
0.68
Oyem AC
0.92

finishing

Mangasport+0.00on par
Oyem AC+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mangasport ↓

Oyem AC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Mangasport or draw
70%
Mangasport or Oyem AC
75%
Draw or Oyem AC
55%

Winning margin

Mangasport wins by 2+
22%
Oyem AC wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Mangasport 1+ goals
78%
Mangasport 2+ goals
45%
Mangasport 3+ goals
20%
Oyem AC 1+ goals
70%
Oyem AC 2+ goals
33%
Oyem AC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Mangasport (draw refunded)
60%
Oyem AC (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mangasport at home — creates 2.13, concedes 0.68 · 31 matches

Oyem AC away — creates 1.69, concedes 0.92 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mangasport attack 2.13 + Oyem AC defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 1.52

Oyem AC attack 1.69 + Mangasport defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Mangasport scores more
45%
level
25%
Oyem AC scores more
30%

Mangasport at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Mangasport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mangasport vs Oyem AC

Mangasport beat Oyem AC 4-3 in Championnat D1 on May 26, 2026.