Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Mangasport vs FC 105 — Championnat D1 2022

Mangasport
Mangasport
FT
3 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
FC 105
FC 105
3/24/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Mangasport51%
×Draw26%
FC 10523%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mangasport
1.50
FC 105
0.92

Mangasport creates 63% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 32 away

creates per match

Mangasport
2.13
FC 105
1.16

allows per match

Mangasport
0.68
FC 105
0.88

finishing

Mangasport+0.00on par
FC 105+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mangasport ↓

FC 105 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Mangasport or draw
77%
Mangasport or FC 105
74%
Draw or FC 105
49%

Winning margin

Mangasport wins by 2+
26%
FC 105 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Mangasport 1+ goals
78%
Mangasport 2+ goals
44%
Mangasport 3+ goals
19%
FC 105 1+ goals
60%
FC 105 2+ goals
23%
FC 105 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Mangasport (draw refunded)
69%
FC 105 (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mangasport at home — creates 2.13, concedes 0.68 · 31 matches

FC 105 away — creates 1.16, concedes 0.88 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mangasport attack 2.13 + FC 105 defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 1.50

FC 105 attack 1.16 + Mangasport defence 0.68 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Mangasport scores more
51%
level
26%
FC 105 scores more
23%

Mangasport at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Mangasport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Championnat D1: Mangasport 3–1 FC 105

Mangasport beat FC 105 3-1 in Championnat D1 on March 24, 2026.