Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos — Super League 2019

Man Utd Zambia Academy
Man Utd Zambia Academy
FT
0 – 3
HT: 0 – 2
Kansanshi Dynamos
Kansanshi Dynamos
4/29/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 30Nakambala Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 68+ matches

Man Utd Zambia Academy43%
×Draw32%
Kansanshi Dynamos25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Man Utd Zambia Academy
1.06
Kansanshi Dynamos
0.73

Man Utd Zambia Academy creates 45% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 68 away

creates per match

Man Utd Zambia Academy
1.03
Kansanshi Dynamos
0.68

allows per match

Man Utd Zambia Academy
0.78
Kansanshi Dynamos
1.10

finishing

Man Utd Zambia Academy+0.00on par
Kansanshi Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Man Utd Zambia Academy ↓

Kansanshi Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–112%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Man Utd Zambia Academy or draw
75%
Man Utd Zambia Academy or Kansanshi Dynamos
68%
Draw or Kansanshi Dynamos
57%

Winning margin

Man Utd Zambia Academy wins by 2+
17%
Kansanshi Dynamos wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Man Utd Zambia Academy 1+ goals
65%
Man Utd Zambia Academy 2+ goals
29%
Man Utd Zambia Academy 3+ goals
9%
Kansanshi Dynamos 1+ goals
52%
Kansanshi Dynamos 2+ goals
17%
Kansanshi Dynamos 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Man Utd Zambia Academy (draw refunded)
63%
Kansanshi Dynamos (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Man Utd Zambia Academy at home — creates 1.03, concedes 0.78 · 76 matches

Kansanshi Dynamos away — creates 0.68, concedes 1.10 · 68 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Man Utd Zambia Academy attack 1.03 + Kansanshi Dynamos defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.06

Kansanshi Dynamos attack 0.68 + Man Utd Zambia Academy defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Man Utd Zambia Academy scores more
43%
level
32%
Kansanshi Dynamos scores more
25%

Man Utd Zambia Academy at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Man Utd Zambia Academy will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Man Utd Zambia Academy vs Kansanshi Dynamos

Kansanshi Dynamos beat Man Utd Zambia Academy 3-0 in Super League on April 29, 2026.

The match was played at Nakambala Stadium in Mazabuka.