Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Remo Stars: Result & Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

FT

2 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Remo Stars

10/26/2025

CAF Champions League · 1st Preliminary RoundLucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Mamelodi Sundowns69%

×Draw23%

Remo Stars8%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Mamelodi SundownsExpected goals in this matchRemo Stars

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.66

0.38

Mamelodi Sundowns

1.66

Remo Stars

0.38

Mamelodi Sundowns creates 337% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 4 away

2.07

creates per match

0.25

0.51

allows per match

1.25

creates per match

Mamelodi Sundowns

2.07

Remo Stars

0.25

allows per match

Mamelodi Sundowns

0.51

Remo Stars

1.25

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Mamelodi Sundowns+0.00on par

Remo Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No74
Yes26

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mamelodi Sundowns ↓

Remo Stars →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–15%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–022%

1–18%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–018%

2–17%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–010%

3–14%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–12%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (22%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

15%85%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Mamelodi Sundowns or draw

92%

Mamelodi Sundowns or Remo Stars

77%

Draw or Remo Stars

31%

Winning margin

Mamelodi Sundowns wins by 2+

40%

Remo Stars wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Mamelodi Sundowns 1+ goals

81%

Mamelodi Sundowns 2+ goals

49%

Mamelodi Sundowns 3+ goals

23%

Remo Stars 1+ goals

32%

Remo Stars 2+ goals

6%

Remo Stars 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

Mamelodi Sundowns (draw refunded)

90%

Remo Stars (draw refunded)

10%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

17%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mamelodi Sundowns at home — creates 2.07, concedes 0.51 · 41 matches

Remo Stars away — creates 0.25, concedes 1.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mamelodi Sundowns attack 2.07 + Remo Stars defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.66

Remo Stars attack 0.25 + Mamelodi Sundowns defence 0.51 → ÷2 → 0.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Mamelodi Sundowns scores more

69%

level

23%

Remo Stars scores more

8%

Mamelodi Sundowns at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Mamelodi Sundowns will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

CAF Champions League: Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Remo Stars

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Remo Stars 2-0 in CAF Champions League on October 26, 2025.

The match was played at Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium in Pretoria.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Remo Stars — CAF Champions League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

CAF Champions League: Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 Remo Stars