Malmo FF 0–0 IFK Goteborg: Result & Stats

Malmo FF

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

IFK Goteborg

8/24/2025

Allsvenskan · Round 21Eleda Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Malmo FF48%

×Draw23%

IFK Goteborg29%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Malmo FFExpected goals in this matchIFK Goteborg

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

1.36

Malmo FF

1.80

IFK Goteborg

1.36

Malmo FF creates 32% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 26 away

1.96

creates per match

1.42

1.30

allows per match

1.65

creates per match

Malmo FF

1.96

IFK Goteborg

1.42

allows per match

Malmo FF

1.30

IFK Goteborg

1.65

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Malmo FF+0.00on par

IFK Goteborg+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Malmo FF ↓

IFK Goteborg →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Malmo FF or draw

71%

Malmo FF or IFK Goteborg

77%

Draw or IFK Goteborg

52%

Winning margin

Malmo FF wins by 2+

26%

IFK Goteborg wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Malmo FF 1+ goals

83%

Malmo FF 2+ goals

54%

Malmo FF 3+ goals

27%

IFK Goteborg 1+ goals

74%

IFK Goteborg 2+ goals

39%

IFK Goteborg 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Malmo FF (draw refunded)

62%

IFK Goteborg (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Malmo FF at home — creates 1.96, concedes 1.30 · 23 matches

IFK Goteborg away — creates 1.42, concedes 1.65 · 26 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Malmo FF attack 1.96 + IFK Goteborg defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.80

IFK Goteborg attack 1.42 + Malmo FF defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Malmo FF scores more

48%

level

23%

IFK Goteborg scores more

29%

Malmo FF at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Malmo FF will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25

E. Bishesari

IFK Goteborg · G

8.6

Match Events

29'

A. Sigurdsson← H. Bolin

31'

Pontus Jansson

46'

S. Haksabanovic← A. Christiansen

54'

Salifou Soumah

56'

S. Soumah← T. Ali

56'

D. T. Gudjohnsen← E. Ekong

61'

I. Jagne← S. Alioum

72'

O. Berg← A. Skogmar

81'

David Kruse

83'

G. Svensson← S. Clemmensen

88'

Sead Hakšabanović

89'

R. Yeboah← J. Bager

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MalmoIFK

Overview

64%Possession36%

31Total Shots11

9Corners6

15Fouls14

Shots

31Total Shots11

6On Target4

14Off Target3

11Blocked4

22Inside Box6

9Outside Box5

Passing

64%Possession36%

536Total Passes284

453Accurate Passes215

85%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

4Saves6

Discipline

15Fouls14

3Yellow Cards1

0Offsides2