Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Mallorca vs Tenerife — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Mallorca
Mallorca
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Tenerife
Tenerife
Stoichkov 85'
A. Trajkovski 82'
8/29/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Pinatar Arena Football Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Mallorca62%
×Draw26%
Tenerife12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mallorca
1.50
Tenerife
0.50

Mallorca creates 200% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 3 away

creates per match

Mallorca
1.67
Tenerife
1.00

allows per match

Mallorca
0.00
Tenerife
1.33

finishing

Mallorca+0.00on par
Tenerife+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

69%No
  • No69
  • Yes31

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mallorca ↓

Tenerife →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–020%
1–110%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Mallorca or draw
88%
Mallorca or Tenerife
74%
Draw or Tenerife
38%

Winning margin

Mallorca wins by 2+
33%
Tenerife wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Mallorca 1+ goals
78%
Mallorca 2+ goals
44%
Mallorca 3+ goals
19%
Tenerife 1+ goals
39%
Tenerife 2+ goals
9%
Tenerife 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Mallorca (draw refunded)
84%
Tenerife (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mallorca at home — creates 1.67, concedes 0.00 · 3 matches

Tenerife away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mallorca attack 1.67 + Tenerife defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.50

Tenerife attack 1.00 + Mallorca defence 0.00 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Mallorca scores more
62%
level
26%
Tenerife scores more
12%

Mallorca at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Mallorca will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

82'
A. Trajkovski
85'
Stoichkov

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mallorca vs Tenerife

Mallorca beat Tenerife 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on August 29, 2020.

Goals: A. Trajkovski (82'), Stoichkov (85').

The match was played at Pinatar Arena Football Center in San Pedro del Pinatar.