Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Majosi vs Iváncsa — NB III - Southwest 2019

Majosi
Majosi
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Iváncsa
Iváncsa
8/10/2025NB III - SouthwestNB III - Southwest · Southwest - 3Majosi SE Sporttelep

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Majosi34%
×Draw22%
Iváncsa44%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Majosi
1.61
Iváncsa
1.87

Iváncsa creates 16% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 45 away

creates per match

Majosi
2.07
Iváncsa
1.96

allows per match

Majosi
1.78
Iváncsa
1.16

finishing

Majosi+0.00on par
Iváncsa+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Majosi ↓

Iváncsa →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Majosi or draw
56%
Majosi or Iváncsa
78%
Draw or Iváncsa
66%

Winning margin

Majosi wins by 2+
16%
Iváncsa wins by 2+
24%

Team goals

Majosi 1+ goals
80%
Majosi 2+ goals
48%
Majosi 3+ goals
22%
Iváncsa 1+ goals
85%
Iváncsa 2+ goals
56%
Iváncsa 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Majosi (draw refunded)
43%
Iváncsa (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Majosi at home — creates 2.07, concedes 1.78 · 45 matches

Iváncsa away — creates 1.96, concedes 1.16 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Majosi attack 2.07 + Iváncsa defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.61

Iváncsa attack 1.96 + Majosi defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.87

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Majosi scores more
34%
level
22%
Iváncsa scores more
44%

Iváncsa at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Iváncsa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Majosi
Iváncsa
B. Varga
Manager: B. Varga
A. Tóth
Manager: A. Tóth

NB III - Southwest: Majosi 2–1 Iváncsa

Majosi beat Iváncsa 2-1 in NB III - Southwest on August 10, 2025.

The match was played at Majosi SE Sporttelep in Bonyhád-Majos.