Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem — Ligat Ha'al 2019

Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Netanya
FT
2 – 8
HT: 2 – 5
Beitar Jerusalem
Beitar Jerusalem
2/23/2026Ligat Ha'alLigat Ha'al · Round 24Netanya Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 106+ matches

Maccabi Netanya36%
×Draw25%
Beitar Jerusalem38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Maccabi Netanya
1.38
Beitar Jerusalem
1.42

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 109 home / 106 away

creates per match

Maccabi Netanya
1.39
Beitar Jerusalem
1.54

allows per match

Maccabi Netanya
1.30
Beitar Jerusalem
1.38

finishing

Maccabi Netanya+0.00on par
Beitar Jerusalem+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Maccabi Netanya ↓

Beitar Jerusalem →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Maccabi Netanya or draw
62%
Maccabi Netanya or Beitar Jerusalem
75%
Draw or Beitar Jerusalem
64%

Winning margin

Maccabi Netanya wins by 2+
17%
Beitar Jerusalem wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Maccabi Netanya 1+ goals
75%
Maccabi Netanya 2+ goals
40%
Maccabi Netanya 3+ goals
16%
Beitar Jerusalem 1+ goals
76%
Beitar Jerusalem 2+ goals
41%
Beitar Jerusalem 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Maccabi Netanya (draw refunded)
49%
Beitar Jerusalem (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Maccabi Netanya at home — creates 1.39, concedes 1.30 · 109 matches

Beitar Jerusalem away — creates 1.54, concedes 1.38 · 106 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Maccabi Netanya attack 1.39 + Beitar Jerusalem defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.38

Beitar Jerusalem attack 1.54 + Maccabi Netanya defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Maccabi Netanya scores more
36%
level
25%
Beitar Jerusalem scores more
38%

Beitar Jerusalem at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Beitar Jerusalem will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem

Beitar Jerusalem beat Maccabi Netanya 8-2 in Ligat Ha'al on February 23, 2026.

The match was played at Netanya Stadium in Netanya.