Maccabi Haifa 4–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv: Result & Stats

Maccabi Haifa

FT

4 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Hapoel Tel Aviv

N. Gabay 84'

E. Azoulay 73'

G. Melamed 54'

T. Stewart 40'

X. Silva 24'

5/19/2026

Ligat Ha'al · Championship Group - 34Sammy Ofer Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Maccabi Haifa56%

×Draw24%

Hapoel Tel Aviv21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Maccabi HaifaExpected goals in this matchHapoel Tel Aviv

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.75

0.97

Maccabi Haifa

1.75

Hapoel Tel Aviv

0.97

Maccabi Haifa creates 80% more chances

Season form · 111 home / 91 away

2.14

creates per match

1.03

0.90

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

Maccabi Haifa

2.14

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.03

allows per match

Maccabi Haifa

0.90

Hapoel Tel Aviv

1.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Maccabi Haifa+0.00on par

Hapoel Tel Aviv+0.00on par

Total goals

Over51
Under49

Close call

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Maccabi Haifa ↓

Hapoel Tel Aviv →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

51%49%3.5

29%71%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Maccabi Haifa or draw

79%

Maccabi Haifa or Hapoel Tel Aviv

76%

Draw or Hapoel Tel Aviv

44%

Winning margin

Maccabi Haifa wins by 2+

31%

Hapoel Tel Aviv wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Maccabi Haifa 1+ goals

83%

Maccabi Haifa 2+ goals

52%

Maccabi Haifa 3+ goals

25%

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1+ goals

62%

Hapoel Tel Aviv 2+ goals

25%

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Maccabi Haifa (draw refunded)

73%

Hapoel Tel Aviv (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Maccabi Haifa at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.90 · 111 matches

Hapoel Tel Aviv away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.36 · 91 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Maccabi Haifa attack 2.14 + Hapoel Tel Aviv defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.75

Hapoel Tel Aviv attack 1.03 + Maccabi Haifa defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Maccabi Haifa scores more

56%

level

24%

Hapoel Tel Aviv scores more

21%

Maccabi Haifa at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Maccabi Haifa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19

E. Azoulay

Maccabi Haifa · F

7.9

Match Events

7'

Tal ArchelPenalty cancelled

24'

32'

40'

43'

45+2'

46'

F. Mayembo← A. Lemkin

54'

G. Melamed↳ E. Azoulay

60'

L. Loizou← Falcao

60'

S. Turiel← M. Buskila

60'

O. Altman← D. Dappa

64'

Ethane Azoulay

73'

E. Azoulay↳ D. Haziza

74'

Silva Kani← T. Stewart

75'

N. Gabay← G. Melamed

76'

A. Mahamid← R. Alkoukin

78'

L. Lusky← D. Haziza

81'

Xande Silva

84'

N. Gabay↳ Silva Kani

86'

Pedrao← A. Seck

86'

Z. Zasno← J. Bataille

90'

Omri Altman

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MaccabiHapoel

Overview

56%Possession44%

12Total Shots8

4Corners3

14Fouls7

Shots

12Total Shots8

6On Target3

3Off Target1

3Blocked4

7Inside Box7

5Outside Box1

Passing

56%Possession44%

420Total Passes326

360Accurate Passes261

86%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

14Fouls7

3Yellow Cards3

1Offsides1