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Ludogorets II vs Yantra 2019 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
P. Kirev 55'
Y. Yordanov 40'
A. Georgiev 49'
2/4/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Ludogorets II71%
×Draw18%
Yantra 201911%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ludogorets II
2.25
Yantra 2019
0.74

Ludogorets II creates 204% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

creates per match

Ludogorets II
2.89
Yantra 2019
0.80

allows per match

Ludogorets II
0.67
Yantra 2019
1.60

finishing

Ludogorets II+0.00on par
Yantra 2019+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ludogorets II ↓

Yantra 2019 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (13%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Ludogorets II or draw
89%
Ludogorets II or Yantra 2019
82%
Draw or Yantra 2019
29%

Winning margin

Ludogorets II wins by 2+
47%
Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Ludogorets II 1+ goals
89%
Ludogorets II 2+ goals
65%
Ludogorets II 3+ goals
39%
Yantra 2019 1+ goals
52%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
17%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Ludogorets II (draw refunded)
87%
Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ludogorets II at home — creates 2.89, concedes 0.67 · 9 matches

Yantra 2019 away — creates 0.80, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ludogorets II attack 2.89 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 2.25

Yantra 2019 attack 0.80 + Ludogorets II defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.74

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Ludogorets II scores more
71%
level
18%
Yantra 2019 scores more
11%

Ludogorets II at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Ludogorets II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

40'
Y. Yordanov
49'
A. Georgiev
55'
P. Kirev

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ludogorets II 2 – 1 Yantra 2019

Ludogorets II beat Yantra 2019 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 4, 2026.

Goals: Y. Yordanov (40'), A. Georgiev (49'), P. Kirev (55').