Lokomotiv 0–0 FarDu: Result & Stats | Pro League A

Lokomotiv

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FarDu

5/29/2025

Pro League A · Round 7Lokomotiv Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Lokomotiv66%

×Draw22%

FarDu12%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LokomotivExpected goals in this matchFarDu

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.82

0.64

Lokomotiv

1.82

FarDu

0.64

Lokomotiv creates 184% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 16 away

1.90

creates per match

0.88

0.40

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Lokomotiv

1.90

FarDu

0.88

allows per match

Lokomotiv

0.40

FarDu

1.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Lokomotiv+0.00on par

FarDu+0.00on par

Total goals

Under56
Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Lokomotiv ↓

FarDu →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–15%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–110%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–014%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–09%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

70%30%2.5

44%56%3.5

23%77%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Lokomotiv or draw

88%

Lokomotiv or FarDu

78%

Draw or FarDu

34%

Winning margin

Lokomotiv wins by 2+

39%

FarDu wins by 2+

3%

Team goals

Lokomotiv 1+ goals

84%

Lokomotiv 2+ goals

54%

Lokomotiv 3+ goals

27%

FarDu 1+ goals

47%

FarDu 2+ goals

14%

FarDu 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Lokomotiv (draw refunded)

84%

FarDu (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Lokomotiv at home — creates 1.90, concedes 0.40 · 10 matches

FarDu away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.75 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Lokomotiv attack 1.90 + FarDu defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.82

FarDu attack 0.88 + Lokomotiv defence 0.40 → ÷2 → 0.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Lokomotiv scores more

66%

level

22%

FarDu scores more

12%

Lokomotiv at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Lokomotiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Lokomotiv

FarDu

Manager: G. Kolosovskii

Manager: S. Lebedev