Levante 0–0 Leganes: Result & Stats

Levante

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Leganes

2/9/2024

Segunda División · Round 26Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 65+ matches

Levante45%

×Draw28%

Leganes27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevanteExpected goals in this matchLeganes

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.32

0.95

Levante

1.32

Leganes

0.95

Levante creates 39% more chances

Season form · 65 home / 106 away

1.55

creates per match

0.97

0.92

allows per match

1.09

creates per match

Levante

1.55

Leganes

0.97

allows per match

Levante

0.92

Leganes

1.09

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante+0.00on par

Leganes+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No55
Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Leganes →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Levante or draw

73%

Levante or Leganes

72%

Draw or Leganes

55%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+

21%

Leganes wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals

73%

Levante 2+ goals

38%

Levante 3+ goals

15%

Leganes 1+ goals

61%

Leganes 2+ goals

25%

Leganes 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)

63%

Leganes (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.55, concedes 0.92 · 65 matches

Leganes away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.09 · 106 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.55 + Leganes defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.32

Leganes attack 0.97 + Levante defence 0.92 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Levante scores more

45%

level

28%

Leganes scores more

27%

Levante at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

6

Sergio González

Leganes · D

8.2

Match Events

5'

10'

10'

31'

46'

Óscar Clemente← Sergio Lozano

46'

D. Brašanac← Aritz Arambarri

52'

Sergio GonzálezGoal cancelled

62'

Jorge Sáenz

64'

Brugui← Iván Romero

64'

Postigo← Álex Valle

71'

Diego García← Miguel de la Fuente

72'

Fabrício← Carlos Álvarez

81'

Andrés García← Dani Gómez

87'

Yvan Neyou

87'

N. Djouahra← Dani Raba

90+7'

Sergio González

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevanteLeganes

Overview

53%Possession47%

12Total Shots11

6Corners3

13Fouls15

Shots

12Total Shots11

3On Target2

4Off Target6

5Blocked3

5Inside Box8

7Outside Box3

Passing

53%Possession47%

477Total Passes436

411Accurate Passes371

86%Pass Accuracy85%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

13Fouls15

1Yellow Cards6

1Offsides2