Levante 2–0 Leganes: Result & Stats | La Liga

Levante

FT

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Leganes

Rubén Rochina 90'

Roger Martí 14'

10/27/2018

La Liga · Round 10Ciutat de València

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Levante44%

×Draw26%

Leganes30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.4%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.4% correct across 574,295 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevanteExpected goals in this matchLeganes

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.45

1.15

Levante

1.45

Leganes

1.15

Levante creates 26% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 44 away

1.49

creates per match

0.82

1.47

allows per match

1.41

creates per match

Levante

1.49

Leganes

0.82

allows per match

Levante

1.47

Leganes

1.41

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levante+0.00on par

Leganes+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levante ↓

Leganes →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Levante or draw

70%

Levante or Leganes

74%

Draw or Leganes

56%

Winning margin

Levante wins by 2+

21%

Leganes wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Levante 1+ goals

77%

Levante 2+ goals

42%

Levante 3+ goals

18%

Leganes 1+ goals

68%

Leganes 2+ goals

32%

Leganes 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Levante (draw refunded)

59%

Leganes (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

40%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levante at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.47 · 97 matches

Leganes away — creates 0.82, concedes 1.41 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levante attack 1.49 + Leganes defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.45

Leganes attack 0.82 + Levante defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Levante scores more

44%

level

26%

Leganes scores more

30%

Levante at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Levante will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

Oier

Levante · G

8.1

Match Events

14'

Roger Martí↳ Campaña

30'

Chema← E. Cabaco

53'

Dimitrios Siovas

61'

José Campaña

61'

Y. En-Nesyri← Sabin Merino

64'

E. Boateng← Roger Martí

69'

D. Rolan← Juanfran

70'

Kenneth Omeruo

76'

N. El Zhar← Rodri Tarín

83'

Róber Pier

88'

Pedro López← Jason

90'

Rubén Rochina↳ José Luis Morales

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

LevanteLeganes

Overview

42%Possession58%

9Total Shots21

3Corners2

12Fouls14

Shots

9Total Shots21

4On Target6

3Off Target12

2Blocked3

5Inside Box12

4Outside Box9

Passing

42%Possession58%

377Total Passes506

273Accurate Passes416

72%Pass Accuracy82%

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

Discipline

12Fouls14

2Yellow Cards2

0Red Cards0

0Offsides2

La Liga: Levante 2–0 Leganes

Levante beat Leganes 2-0 in La Liga on October 27, 2018.

Goals: Roger Martí (14'), Rubén Rochina (90').

Leganes controlled possession (58%) and registered 21 shots to 9.

The match was played at Ciutat de València in Valencia.

Levante vs Leganes — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

La Liga: Levante 2–0 Leganes