Levanger 2–2 Ranheim: Result & Stats | 1. Division

Levanger

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 1

Ranheim

S. Bojadzic 38' (pen)

J. Aas 12'

B. Bye 84'

Hou Yongyong 45'

5/16/2024

1. Division · Round 8TOBB ARENA Levanger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

Levanger38%

×Draw24%

Ranheim38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LevangerExpected goals in this matchRanheim

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.58

1.59

Levanger

1.58

Ranheim

1.59

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 32 home / 101 away

1.38

creates per match

1.43

1.75

allows per match

1.78

creates per match

Levanger

1.38

Ranheim

1.43

allows per match

Levanger

1.75

Ranheim

1.78

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Levanger+0.00on par

Ranheim+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levanger ↓

Ranheim →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–25%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–27%

2–34%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Levanger or draw

62%

Levanger or Ranheim

76%

Draw or Ranheim

62%

Winning margin

Levanger wins by 2+

19%

Ranheim wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Levanger 1+ goals

79%

Levanger 2+ goals

47%

Levanger 3+ goals

21%

Ranheim 1+ goals

80%

Ranheim 2+ goals

47%

Ranheim 3+ goals

21%

Draw no bet

Levanger (draw refunded)

50%

Ranheim (draw refunded)

50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levanger at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.75 · 32 matches

Ranheim away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.78 · 101 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levanger attack 1.38 + Ranheim defence 1.78 → ÷2 → 1.58

Ranheim attack 1.43 + Levanger defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Levanger scores more

38%

level

24%

Ranheim scores more

38%

Levanger at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Levanger will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

12'

32'

36'

36'

38'

S. BojadzicPenalty

39'

M. Johnsen← M. Emilsen

41'

45'

46'

46'

51'

59'

67'

75'

M. Solhaug Wenneberg← Å. Bruseth

84'

B. Bye

86'

G. Andersen← A. Gunnes

90+1'

D. Pollen

90+6'

M. Johnsen

90+6'

E. Hajdari

90+8'

J. Saeter

Levanger

Ranheim

1

Nilsen

15

Tønne

2

Slørdahl

3

▼

Røsten

4

Skuseth

10

⚽

Yongyong

6

Tromsdal

14

▼

Emilsen

19

▼

Gaustad

11

▼

27

12

32

10

⚽

6

19

8

2

7

17

▼

Bruseth

11

⚽

Bojadzic

14

▼

Gunnes

Manager: P. Rønning

75'▲M. Solhaug Wenneberg←▼Å. Bruseth

86'▲G. Andersen←▼A. Gunnes

Levanger substitutes

20Wenneberg9Andersen1Henriksen3Bjeglerud4Ugelvik16Olsen23Høstland

Manager: K. Ingebrigtsen

39'▲M. Johnsen←▼M. Emilsen

46'▲S. Haugen←▼H. Røsten

46'▲V. Wenaas←▼S. Solli

67'▲B. Bye←▼D. Gaustad

Ranheim substitutes

23Johnsen5Haugen17Wenaas9Bye8Holden16Qvigstad21Kolstad24Gangstad92Frenderup

1. Division: Levanger 2–2 Ranheim

Levanger and Ranheim drew 2-2 in 1. Division on May 16, 2024.

Goals: J. Aas (12'), S. Bojadzic (38' pen), Hou Yongyong (45'), B. Bye (84').

The match was played at TOBB ARENA Levanger in Levanger.

Levanger vs Ranheim — 1. Division 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

1. Division: Levanger 2–2 Ranheim