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Levanger vs Ranheim — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Levanger
Levanger
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Ranheim
Ranheim
H. Lorentsen 62'
S. Hagbo 42'
A. Gunnes 39'
3/22/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TOBB ARENA Levanger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Levanger75%
×Draw14%
Ranheim11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Levanger
3.13
Ranheim
1.16

Levanger creates 170% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 13 away

creates per match

Levanger
4.57
Ranheim
1.31

allows per match

Levanger
1.00
Ranheim
1.69

finishing

Levanger+0.00on par
Ranheim+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levanger ↓

Ranheim →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–15%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–06%
4–17%
4–24%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
40%60%

Double chance

Levanger or draw
89%
Levanger or Ranheim
86%
Draw or Ranheim
25%

Winning margin

Levanger wins by 2+
56%
Ranheim wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Levanger 1+ goals
95%
Levanger 2+ goals
81%
Levanger 3+ goals
59%
Ranheim 1+ goals
69%
Ranheim 2+ goals
32%
Ranheim 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Levanger (draw refunded)
87%
Ranheim (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levanger at home — creates 4.57, concedes 1.00 · 7 matches

Ranheim away — creates 1.31, concedes 1.69 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levanger attack 4.57 + Ranheim defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 3.13

Ranheim attack 1.31 + Levanger defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Levanger scores more
75%
level
14%
Ranheim scores more
11%

Levanger at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Levanger will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'
A. Gunnes
42'
S. Hagbo
58'
62'
H. Lorentsen
66'
W. Bjeglerud← W. Bjeglerud
66'
J. Pereira← D. Pollen
66'
H. S. Stakset← H. S. Stakset
72'
E. Hajdari← M. Wenneberg
77'
K. Ulstad← K. Ulstad
81'
J. Aas← T. Olsen

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Levanger 3–0 Ranheim

Levanger beat Ranheim 3-0 in Friendlies Clubs on March 22, 2024.

Goals: A. Gunnes (39'), S. Hagbo (42'), H. Lorentsen (62').

The match was played at TOBB ARENA Levanger in Levanger.