Scoreo

Levanger vs Alta2. Division - Group 2 2019

Levanger
Levanger
FT
00
HT: 00
Alta
Alta
10/11/20252. Division - Group 22. Division - Group 2 · Group 2 - 24Tobb Arena Levanger

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 62+ matches

Levanger61%
×Draw19%
Alta20%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Levanger
2.42
Alta
1.35

Levanger creates 79% more chances

Season form · 63 home / 62 away

creates per match

Levanger
2.35
Alta
1.44

allows per match

Levanger
1.27
Alta
2.50

finishing

Levanger+0.00on par
Alta+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Levanger

Alta
0
1
2
3
4
0
002%
013%
022%
031%
040%
1
106%
118%
125%
132%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
306%
317%
325%
332%
341%
4
403%
415%
423%
431%
440%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Levanger or draw
80%
Levanger or Alta
81%
Draw or Alta
39%

Winning margin

Levanger wins by 2+
39%
Alta wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Levanger 1+ goals
91%
Levanger 2+ goals
69%
Levanger 3+ goals
43%
Alta 1+ goals
74%
Alta 2+ goals
39%
Alta 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Levanger (draw refunded)
75%
Alta (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Levanger at homecreates 2.35, concedes 1.27 · 63 matches

Alta awaycreates 1.44, concedes 2.50 · 62 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Levanger attack 2.35 + Alta defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.42

Alta attack 1.44 + Levanger defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.35

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Levanger scores more
61%
level
19%
Alta scores more
20%

Levanger at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Levanger will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Levanger
Alta
J. Aas
Manager: J. Aas
59'A. PettersenW. Bjeglerud
M. Duilo
Manager: M. Duilo
11'J. AndersenN. Antonsen
53'Z. BelloS. Mahlamaki
86'C. KleivaH. Nome

Alta substitutes

2. Division - Group 2: Levanger 0–0 Alta

Levanger and Alta drew 0-0 in 2. Division - Group 2 on October 11, 2025.

The match was played at Tobb Arena Levanger in Levanger.