Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Letohrad vs Benátky nad Jizerou — 4. liga - Divizie C 2019

Letohrad
Letohrad
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Benátky nad Jizerou
Benátky nad Jizerou
8/13/20224. liga - Divizie C4. liga - Divizie C · Division C - 2Stadion FK OEZ Letohrad

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 55+ matches

Letohrad29%
×Draw24%
Benátky nad Jizerou47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Letohrad
1.31
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.73

Benátky nad Jizerou creates 32% more chances

Season form · 55 home / 55 away

creates per match

Letohrad
1.38
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.71

allows per match

Letohrad
1.75
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.25

finishing

Letohrad+0.00on par
Benátky nad Jizerou+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Letohrad ↓

Benátky nad Jizerou →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Letohrad or draw
53%
Letohrad or Benátky nad Jizerou
76%
Draw or Benátky nad Jizerou
71%

Winning margin

Letohrad wins by 2+
12%
Benátky nad Jizerou wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Letohrad 1+ goals
73%
Letohrad 2+ goals
38%
Letohrad 3+ goals
14%
Benátky nad Jizerou 1+ goals
82%
Benátky nad Jizerou 2+ goals
52%
Benátky nad Jizerou 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Letohrad (draw refunded)
38%
Benátky nad Jizerou (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Letohrad at home — creates 1.38, concedes 1.75 · 55 matches

Benátky nad Jizerou away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.25 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Letohrad attack 1.38 + Benátky nad Jizerou defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.31

Benátky nad Jizerou attack 1.71 + Letohrad defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Letohrad scores more
29%
level
24%
Benátky nad Jizerou scores more
47%

Benátky nad Jizerou at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Benátky nad Jizerou will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Letohrad vs Benátky nad Jizerou

Benátky nad Jizerou beat Letohrad 2-0 in 4. liga - Divizie C on August 13, 2022.

The match was played at Stadion FK OEZ Letohrad in Letohrad.