LASK Juniors 0–0 SK Vorwarts Steyr: Result & Stats

LASK Juniors

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

SK Vorwarts Steyr

4/4/2025

Regionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 21voestalpine Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

LASK Juniors62%

×Draw21%

SK Vorwarts Steyr17%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

LASK JuniorsExpected goals in this matchSK Vorwarts Steyr

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.05

0.98

LASK Juniors

2.05

SK Vorwarts Steyr

0.98

LASK Juniors creates 109% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 30 away

2.30

creates per match

0.97

1.00

allows per match

1.80

creates per match

LASK Juniors

2.30

SK Vorwarts Steyr

0.97

allows per match

LASK Juniors

1.00

SK Vorwarts Steyr

1.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

LASK Juniors+0.00on par

SK Vorwarts Steyr+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

LASK Juniors ↓

SK Vorwarts Steyr →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–110%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–07%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

LASK Juniors or draw

83%

LASK Juniors or SK Vorwarts Steyr

79%

Draw or SK Vorwarts Steyr

38%

Winning margin

LASK Juniors wins by 2+

38%

SK Vorwarts Steyr wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

LASK Juniors 1+ goals

87%

LASK Juniors 2+ goals

61%

LASK Juniors 3+ goals

33%

SK Vorwarts Steyr 1+ goals

62%

SK Vorwarts Steyr 2+ goals

26%

SK Vorwarts Steyr 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

LASK Juniors (draw refunded)

78%

SK Vorwarts Steyr (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

45%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

LASK Juniors at home — creates 2.30, concedes 1.00 · 60 matches

SK Vorwarts Steyr away — creates 0.97, concedes 1.80 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

LASK Juniors attack 2.30 + SK Vorwarts Steyr defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.05

SK Vorwarts Steyr attack 0.97 + LASK Juniors defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

LASK Juniors scores more

62%

level

21%

SK Vorwarts Steyr scores more

17%

LASK Juniors at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "LASK Juniors will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff